After Copacabana, the Paulista. Bolsonaro’s second successive failure showed that extremism has lost its ability to mobilize its base. On the avenue, in front of nearly 50,000 Brazilians, the defendant has pronounced indecipherable sounds in a language that imagines being English. Lula is a lucky guy: since the election campaign, he has Bolsonaro – now, on the eve of 2026, he has kneeling him against Trump.
Quaest research pointed out a 56% failure to the Lula administration, the lowest level of his term. Even between women and browns, disapproval surpasses approval. The negative evaluation equals the positive even in the Northeast and among the poorest. The government sinks under the weight of food inflation and widespread crime.
However, on the other side of a strengthened political scenario, everything is attached to Bolsonaro’s gravitational strength: in Paulista, Tarcisio, Zema, Caiado and Ratinho Júnior associated themselves with the coup leader who calls for the help of Trump’s friendly hand. Opposition has been lost in the maze of the language, and its smallest problem is pronunciation.
At the height of his government’s unpopularity, Lula would obtain reelection if the claim were today, as Datafolha showed. In the initial shift, it would have 36% against 30% of a magically eligible Bolsonaro and 35% against 15% of Tarcisio. (48% to 39%) as Michelle (50% to 38%). Hypothetically, Haddad himself would beat Tarcisio (43% to 37%).
In Paulista, Bolsonaro practiced the sport of the simulation, pretending to fight for “Pipoqueiro” and the “ice cream” of January 8 to manipulate the exaggerated sentences of the Supreme Court for the amnesty and the conspirators of fine tract. Apart from the fanatics, it did not delude anyone. His language tries to divert the attention of a country concerned about the price of eggs and streets on the streets for the private interests of the coup dressing room.
“Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake,” followed the advice to Napoleon and, avoiding the empty controversy proposed by Bolsonaro, focused on the exemption of income tax. The government is confused, but at least employs the national language.
Trump is Lula’s Extra Trunfo. The sound and fury emanating from the White House revitalize the democratic center left and center-right parties in Canada, the United Kingdom and the European Union. The detonated tariff nuclear bomb over the planet simplifies political narratives: resisting Trump is the most effective electoral strategy. Here, without moving a finger, Lula has broken the shadows of Putin and Maduro, and, in breach, benefits from the adhesion of a foreign government that directly threatens national interests.
The rates, Bolsonaro said, protect the US against the “socialist virus.” The defendant who displayed himself as a nationalist operates as a herald of a hostile external power, while his self-disclared son moves into the Trumpian far right circuit. It is as if, between the US, Israel and Brazil flags unfurled in the Bolsonarist demonstrations, they discard the latter.
In war, what is worth the obuses; In politics, they are the words. The language chosen by Bolsonaro-and inertially, by the governors who cut him-drives Lula’s pre-campaign.
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