Adepts usually discuss the result of a game, a boxing combat in the ring, or a chess tournament. Many people make bets. Nowadays, you don’t have to wait for the event start or go somewhere to make your forecast. Just fill in a coupon using a smartphone. For example, the House of Betting website offers a wide range of options: from the creation of a personal account to the background survey by the chosen method.
Let’s talk about predictions. The article will be useful for both the beginners and users who already have a certain knowledge of the betting world.
Use statistics in sports bets
Betting houses take into account many statistical factors when they define the odds. It is therefore important to understand the main indicators that influence the result of sports events. It is easy to find updated information on the portal, which covers the athletes’ achievements in major alloys. News are also published, interviews of athletes.
Main statistical parameters to be analyzed
To increase the likelihood of a successful bet, there are several important aspects to consider. Namely:
- The form of the team (results of the latest games). When analyzing the results of the last 5-10 games, you can see if the team is fit or if you have problems. However, it is important to take into account the strength of opponents against which the team played – a victory over an outsider and a victory over a league leader have a different value.
- Meetings face to face (history of the opposing teams). Sometimes certain teams are not successful against specific opponents. This is due to the style of play, to psychology. Beyond historical factors. For example, a psychological advantage can be indicated by this fact. In the last 7 games, one team has won 6 times.
- Performance at home and outside. Many teams play much better at home and have difficulties away. For example, in the English League, there are many teams that mark points consistently at home, but have a weak performance away.
- Statistics on scored and conceded goals. When you are preparing to bet on total goals (more or less than a certain value), you need to do an analysis. In particular, analyze the average goals scored and conceded by both teams. For example, if the team in the last 10 games has scored, on average, 2.5 goals per game, and the opponent consistently suffers at least two goals, a bet on “total of 2.5” seems justified.
- Injuries and disqualifications. The absence of important players can seriously affect the result of the game. For example, a main striker’s injury may lead to a defeat of the team. Therefore, before betting, it is important to check which players will fail the game and their degree of importance.
We will assume that the team A scored an average of 2.5 goals per game in the last 5 games, and team B has conceded more than 2 goals in each of the last games. This indicates a high probability of an efficient game, and betting on “total over 2.5” seems logical.
Analyzed Based Betting: Should you trust the predictions?
Many gamblers and analysts offer forecasts, but should you trust them? Before you do, it is worth knowing that the key to a reliable forecast is:
- Transparent statistics (how many wins and losses).
- Justification of the bet (analysis, not just “insider”).
- ROI (Return of Investment) Positive in the Long Term.
Free forecasts are often provided without a detailed analysis and paid gamblers may overwrite success statistics. It is preferable to check this before betting.
Influence of team motivation on the outcome of the game
Motivation plays a very important role in sport. However, equally important is the knowledge that users remove from Portuguese popular news portals, such as the, where news, interviews, victories and team losses are published, especially football. Here are some examples of situations that can help the gambler correctly fill the coupon:
- Survival Game – A team of the release zone can give 200%;
- Games before important tournaments – favorites can save their leaders;
- Derbies and rivalries – emotions can affect the result;
- Hard calendar of the past – the team may be tired after several difficult games.
Example: If a team has already secured a place in playoffs and the opponent is fighting to leave, the high motivation of the second team can lead to an unexpected result.
A competent bet analysis requires knowledge of the probabilities, statistics, the current form of the team and the motivation of players. Predictions can help, but it is better to use them as a supplement to your own analysis.
