Analysis indicates that the measure, under discussion in Congress, can lead to up to 18 million jobs in the country
The approval of the end of working hours 6 x 1 can strongly impact the Brazilian economy. Study prepared by FIEMG (Federation of Industries of the State of Minas Gerais) shows that the change can compromise up to 16% of GDP (Gross Domestic Product). The entity also talks about the increase in unemployment and falling in salaryuba.
A. According to FIEMG, this change in the workday represents a “scenario of increased costs for companies, loss of competitiveness, elevation of informality and potential closure ofand 18 million jobs in the country”.
2 scenarios were analyzed. In the first of these, it was considered a reduction of the contracted workload to up to 40 hours per week, without productivity gains. FIEMG pointed out that, in Brazil, 64% of the population employed in the formal market has a contractual journey of 41 to 44 hours per week.
According to the study ( – PDF – 978 KB), the country would lose up to 18 million jobs and would have a reduction of up to $ 480 billion in salary wage.
This is because the reduction of working hours would directly impact production and the number of jobs available.
In the 2nd scenario, with 1% increase in productivity, job losses can reach 16 million, with a negative impact of R $ 428 billion on workers’ income.
According to the survey, the reduction of the journey without the corresponding increase in productivity can compromise 14.2% to 16% of national GDP, with a drop of R $ 2.6 trillion to R $ 2.9 trillion in the revenues of the productive sectors.
“Before discussing the reduction of working hours, Brazil needs to face its biggest challenge: low productivity. The Brazilian worker produces, in mandday, only 23% of a worker from the United States. Reduce working time without raising productivity and an account that does not close and endanger millions of jobs”Fiemg’s chief economist, João Gabriel Pio.
Flávio Roscoe, president of Fiemg, quoted that the increase in the cost of work tends to be passed on to consumers – which can impact inflation and specially reach small businesses.
“Imagine a restaurant that works with 2 waiters. If the journey is reduced, the owner of the establishment will need to hire 1 more waiter to maintain the operation. This cost more inevitably will be passed on to the price of food that reaches the customer’s table”He said.
“International experience shows that the reduction of the journey needs to be accompanied by real productivity gains. Even in rich countries, such as France, reducing the workload from 39 to 35 hours did not bring the expected results and generated loss of competitiveness“, These.
In addition to economic losses, the study talks about the possible increase in informality. According to FIEMG, many companies will have difficulty in increasing labor costs and should resort to informal hiring.
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