After the death on April 21, 2025, the Catholic Church is preparing for the concussion, and forecasts, speculation and bets on who will wear the papal miters have already begun.
“What is his most likely successor?”. We asked the question in three applications and here are the answers:
Chatgpt’s answer
“The chances of succession are open, with candidates from different theological currents and geographical areas. Here are the main potential successors:
Luis Antonio Tangle (Philippines)
The 67 -year -old Tagle, known as “Asian Francis”, is former Archbishop Manilas and current Head of Congregia for Evangelical Action. It supports social justice and has adopted more milder positions against LGBTQ and divorced Catholics. He is the prevailing candidate with 25% chances according to bets.
Pietro Parolin (Italy)
The 70 -year -old Parolin has been the Vatican Foreign Minister since 2013. He is considered a moderate and has played an important role in the Vatican diplomacy, including the agreement with China. He has 20% chances for his election.
Peter Turkson (Ghana)
The 76 -year -old Turkson is known for his support for social justice and human rights. He has expressed the view that homosexuality should not be criminalized. Although his age can be considered a disadvantage, his experience and representation of Africa make him an important candidate.
Peter Erdo (Hungary)
The 72-year-old Erdo is Archbishop of Eszterc-Budapest and represents the traditional wing of the church. He has opposed the blessing of homosexual couples and the transition of divorced Catholics. He has a chance of 14% for his election.
Matteo Chupi (Italy)
The 69 -year -old choup is Archbishop of Bologna and president of the Italian Episcopal Conference. He has undertaken peacekeeping in Ukraine and Russia and is known for supporting social issues and the LGBTQ community.
Robert Sarah (Guinea)
The 79 -year -old Sarah is a representative of the traditional church wing, with strong views against “gender ideology” and in favor of traditional function. Although he has supporters, his age can affect his chances.
Pierbatist Pizaballa (Italy)
The 60 -year -old Pitzaballa is a Patriarch of Jerusalem and has emerged for his role in clashes in the Middle East. His experience in interfaith dialogue and peace missions make him a valid candidate.
Mario Grek (Malta)
The 68 -year -old Grek is the Secretary General of the Bishops’ meeting and has expressed progressive views, such as supporting women’s ordination. He had a leading role in the 2024 session, dealing with LGBTQ and women’s issues in the church.
To the question of who is the predominant of the above, he replied:
“THE Pianter Parolin considered at this time the predominant Candidate for Pope Francis’ succession with chances of 34%. If selected, it is likely to continue the Francis line on many issues, but in a more discreet and diplomatic way ”
Perplexity’s answer
“Pope Francis’ most likely successor is currently considered Cardinal Luis Antonio Tangleformer Archbishop of Manila. It is the absolute favorite in betting markets and its election would be historic, as it would be the first Pope from Asia, an area with the fastest growing universal population. Tangle has expressed progressive views, such as criticism of the church’s rigor against homosexuals and divorced.
Other important candidates are:
- The cardinal Pianter ParolinSecretary of the Vatican State, is considered a candidate for the “continuity line” with more moderate and conservative positions than Francis. His participation in the 2018 deal with China has created doubts about his candidacy.
- THE Peter Terksona former bishop of Cape Coast from Ghana, would be the first black Pope. It has moderate views and significant influence in Africa, where the Catholic Church develops rapidly.
- THE Peter ErdoArchbishop of Hungary, known for his conservative positions, is also a candidate but is considered more controversial because of his views on social issues.
In short, Luis Antonio Tangle is the dominant successor, with Pietro Parolin and Peter Terkson following. “
To… cautious Deepseek
‘Although it is impossible to make safe prediction, The Pietro Parolin Cardinal regarded by many as the prevailing candidate For the succession of Pope Francis.
Why Paroline?
- Cooperation with Pope Francis – as State secretary (De Facto Prime Minister of the Vatican), he is the closest partner of the Pope and knows in depth his reforms and policy.
- Diplomatic experience – He has served as a diplomat in critical positions (eg as Apostolic Nundios in Venezuela) and has a good relationship with the World Church.
- Balanced and conservative but open – It is not radical, but it supports Francis’ reforms, which can be accepted by both progressive and conservative cardinals.
- European ancestry but with world experience – He is an Italian, something that is historically favored, but has an international appeal.
Other strong candidates
- Heart. Tagle (tagle) (Philippines) – very popular but maybe they are very progressive For some in the concussion.
- Heart. Sogenborn (Schönborn) (Austria) – represents European tradition, but its age (79 years) can be an obstacle.
- Heart. Erdo (Erdő) (Hungary) – Conservative and respected, but less well known outside Europe.
THE Pretext looks like the more balanced and possible successorespecially if the qclavic wants Continue to the Governance of Franciscanwithout radical changes. However, the Pope’s election is always unpredictable and can depend on current conditions when convening the Conclain. “
The three artificial intelligence platforms appear to agree on the two dominant for Pope Francis’ succession, Pianter Parolin and Luis Antonio Tangle Based on their data that comes mainly from betting companies but also analyzes in international media.
