ZAP // Paulo Novais, Tiago Petinga / Lusa
With the distribution of undecided, AD and liberal initiative together have 42.4% of voting intentions, which may be sufficient for an absolute majority.
If the legislative elections scheduled for May 18 were held next Sunday, the Democratic Alliance would leave Winner with 34.1% of the votesaccording to a survey by Consulmark2 for the Euronews OAS.
The PS would maintain second place, with 27.1%, while arriving would stand as a third force, with 15.2%. The liberal initiative would reach 8.3%. An important detail of this poll is that it makes a distribution of undecided. The inquiry was held between April 14 and 22, already with the television debates taking place and while the news about the preventive investigation of the prosecutor to Pedro Nuno Santos.
Despite the margin of error of 4.1% that maintain the technical draw between the two main parties, a possible coalition between ad and iL joins 42.4% of voting intentions, which could allow an absolute majority. It is recalled that the recent absolute majority of the PS in 2022 obtained 41.38% of the votes.
In the left field, free stabilizes at 4.3%, while the left block and CDU tie with 2.7%. The Pan descends to 1.1%.
The poll also highlights a descent in the undecidednow 20.2% compared to the 21.4% recorded in the first half of April. Without the distribution of undecided, these would be the results: AD (26.7%), PS (21.3%), arrives (12%), IL (6.5%), free (3.3%), BE (2.1%), CDU (2.1%) and PAN (0.9%).
Most voters (66.8%) also rejects an alliance between AD and arrives. Already on the possibility of reprinting a “sprint” on the left, the Portuguese are divided: 42.9% support, but 49.2% are against.
Luís Montenegro continues to lead in preferences for prime minister And it is considered by voters as the most concerned with topics such as justice (39.4%), housing (36.4%), National Health Service (40.1%) or safety (53%).
Pedro Nuno Santos is seen as someone who will be more concerned with the most disadvantaged (41.1%), Social Security (38.1%), environmental issues (30.9%), the elderly (37.3%), social inequalities (43.1%) and pensioners (40.1%).
The main concerns of the electorate continue to be the health (48.2%) and housing (43.4%). However, immigration recorded a sharp climb to 20%, surpassing topics such as education, inflation and corruption.
Gouveia and Melo favorite in the presidential
In the presidential scenario, Henrique Gouveia and Melo Leads with 29%, followed by Luís Marques Mendes with 16.9%and André Ventura with 6.5%. António José Seguro gets 6.3%, followed by António Vitorino (5.6%), Paulo Portas (5.6%), Catarina Martins (3.9%), Joana Amaral Dias (1.4%), Mariana Leitão (1.1%), Paulo Raimundo (1.1%) and Tim Vieira (0.7%).
