Las local elections this Thursday partly from England will be the first great Fire test For the British Prime Minister, Keir Starmerfrom his victory in the general elections of last July. The Labor leader is trying to contain the rise of populist right -wing training Reform UK With a discourse to the right in migration matters, but the surveys suggest that the party of Nigel Farage will achieve very Good results In these elections, consolidating as an alternative to the two great games in the United Kingdom.
Starr has announced several measures in recent days to show Hard hand against immigration and capture the attention of the most moderate voters. The last one has been their intention to withdraw the status of refugee to people who commit sexual crimes, something that will be included in the project of Border Safety Law that is being processed in Parliament and adds to an increase in deportations in recent months. Some Labor deputies of constituencies threatened by reform UK consider, however, that the Government is not being strong enough and have even raised a salida of the United Kingdom of the European Convention on Human Rights To expedite returns.
Threat for the ‘Tories’
The executive has ruled out going so far, aware that he has little to lose in these elections, mostly held in mostly conservative areas of England. Of the 23 Administrative Units that are at stake this Thursday (of a total of more than 300), 19 They are controlled by the Conservative partywhile only one is in the hands of the Labor. The ‘Torso’ obtained very Good results in 2021when the vaccination plan of the then prime minister Boris Johnson It was at full performance and the scandals that ended their resignation had not yet come to light. The panorama is very different Four years laterand everything indicates that the conservatives will be more penalized at the polls.
Los ‘tories’ They control something more than 900 of the near 1,600 councils that are played this Thursday, which represents almost two thirds of the total. Surveys suggest the game of Kemi badenoch could losea figure similar to the representatives that It would gain reform UK. Labor will foreseeably maintain a large part of the almost 300 councils they defend, while Liberaldemocrats and the verdes aspire to Improve your results of 2021. In case of confirming the forecasts, these elections will be a sample of the trend increasing towards him Multiparty in the United Kingdom and the end of the hegemony of the two great parties.
Possible alliances
The bad electoral perspectives for conservatives have led some leading members of the party to claim possible coalitions With reform Uk after the elections. The spokesman for justice, Robert Jenrick – Badenoch given in the primaries last November – he came to show himself in favor of a long -term agreement With the Farage party to avoid the division of the right vote and a new Starmer victory in the 2029 general elections. Jenrick’s statements, made in a Private encounter and subsequently filtered to the press, they have caused a internal earthquake In the game and have forced Badenoch to deny any type of negotiation with the populist right.
The current right division will predictably benefit Starralthough the Labor are also continuing with worry The advances of Farage partyespecially in Wales and in the areas of the so -called ‘red wall’ in northern England. In addition to achieving good results in local elections, Reform UK also aspires to win this Thursday a seat in the House of Commons for the constituency of Runcorn and Helsbylocated on the outskirts of Liverpool, where early elections are held after the expulsion of the Labor Mike Amesbury for assaulting a neighbor at the exit of a pub last October.
