It led him to seek a national alliance with which, if materialized, can dismiss the party from formal support to the reelection of the president (PT) – today unlikely, according to emedebistas.
The Federation requires parties to act together in all states and nationally, as if they were a single group for four years.
The instrument emerged in 2021 as a form of survival of small subtitles, but has also moved on the board of the great parties.
The Union Federation, called the Progressive Union, will have the largest bench in the House, with 109 federal deputies, and the Senate, with 14 senators (tied with and PL). It will also have the largest portion of the party and electoral funds and the longest time of electoral propaganda on TV and radio.
The other center-right and right parties evaluate that the structure of the Union-PP Federation will give the group the condition of claiming senate candidates or deputy governor in each state, with the offer of TV time.
In addition, the alliance between two large acronyms will facilitate the assembly of the plates for federal and state deputy, bringing together many candidates with votes, which facilitates the election due to the current proportional system, which takes into account the distribution of vacancies the vote of all candidates of the legend or the Federation.
To react to this new electoral force, MDB and Republicans intensified conversations about joining a federation as well. Republicans even discussed the idea of integrating the group of and PP, but gave up because it would be minority in the composition.
Another conversation of Republicans is with the party that will result from. These negotiations, however, still need to wait for this union to actually begin.
At the MDB, the idea of the federation began to be debated last month, in a meeting between the party president, Whale Rossi (MDB), and that of Republicans, Marcos Pereira, but gained supporters among various wings of emedebism after the announcement of the Progressive Union.
“The consolidation of this federation causes people to set aside the filigras of the process and understand as necessary a federation,” says Deputy José Piante (MDB-PA), cousin of the governor of Pará, Helder Barbalho (MDB).
For Transport Minister Renan Filho (MDB), the party needs to seek alliances to keep up as an important actor in politics. “Those who do not federate will be in a lower division, and the MDB is a party A party, cannot admit to disputing another series,” he says.
He is quoted to dispute the government of Alagoas in 2026, and his father, Senator Renan Calheiros (MDB-AL), must run for reelection. Both will face the group of former Mayor Arthur Lira (PP-AL), who will support the new federation to run for Senate against the emedebistas.
In the state, MDB dos Calheiros signed a partnership with the PSD of. On Wednesday (7), Kassab said there was no hits or expectation of a federation, but that the party is “open to conversations.”
Whale and Marcos Pereira gathered again on Tuesday (6) to discuss the federation more depth and the possible regional problems. There was also a dinner on Wednesday, organized by Priante, with representatives of both parties, such as Whale and the Minister of Ports and Airports, Silvio Costa Filho (Republicans).
Among the difficulties is, for example, Espírito Santo, where Ricardo Ferraço (MDB) must take over the government and dispute the reelection with the resignation of Governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) to run for Senate. Vitória mayor Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicans) is a potential candidate for the government against him.
Another state with difficulties is Bahia, where the MDB is in the deputy of Governor Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and Republicans is part of the group of former mayor of Salvador ACM Neto (União Brasil). There are still problems in Pernambuco, with MDB itself divided over who will support the election for governor in 2026, Roraima and Paraíba.
Leaders of both parties, however, understand that it is possible to talk in the coming months to overcome these regional conflicts and that the priority is to strengthen the parties nationally.
If united, MDB and Republicans would have 15 senators, the house’s largest bench, as well as 88 deputies and five governors.
The possible alliance with the party of the governor of São Paulo, Tarcísio de Freitas, further departs the MDB from the possibility of supporting Lula’s reelection.
Tarcisio is quoted as successor to Jair Bolsonaro (PL), if the former president remains ineligible, but he also has the option to change subtitles and compete for the PL.
Among MDB leaders, the possibility of formal support for the petista is already practically discarded, unless a turnaround that makes Lula a large favorite for the 2026 election. The acronym today commands three ministries: transport, cities and planning.
A national leader says that more than 90% of the federal bench does not agree with this support, believing that he will lose votes if he takes a photo with the petista and posting on social networks. Only the northeastern wing and part of the north would still consider the coalition.
Emedebistas say Helder, quoted to take over as Lula’s deputy in place of Geraldo Alckmin (PSB), would already be convinced that the coalition with the petista is unlikely and would be concentrating his strength in the election to the Senate.
Parliamentarians around the governor of Pará state, however, that there is no decision in this regard and that it is necessary to expect the definition of the variables of 2026 – otherwise, the conditions in which Lula will arrive in the dispute and which will be the candidate of Bolsonaro, if his ineligibility is maintained.
