The Independent Fiscal Responsibility Authority (Airef) ha reduced its forecast of economic growth For this year until 2,3%, two tenths less that in its previous estimates, before the worst perspectives of the world economy.
It is “Total climate of commercial and tariff uncertainty” He has also led to reduce the forecast by 2026, up to 1.7%, three tenths less, as explained on Wednesday the president of the airf, Cristina Herrero, in a meeting with means to present the follow -up report of the fiscal plan.
He Government also foresees this impactHerrero has nuanced, although he believes that national demand can compensate for it, something that does not share the airf, especially for the worst investment perspectives.
Executive calculations
In this sense, the Government maintains its economic growth projections by 2025 and by 2026 in 2.6 % and in 2.2 %, respectively, due “to Economy dynamism“And” despite the global uncertainty “generated by the tariff war initiated by Donald Trump, according to the Minister of Economy, Carlos Corpora.
So, It is expected that the Internal demand be the main growth engine During this year, since it will contribute 3.1 points, with the consumption of households growing 3.2 %; The public, 2.3 %, and investment, 4.3 %. The foreign sector, meanwhile, will subtract 0.4 points from GDP.
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