The installation requirements and to openly show the actual size of opposition A (PT) within the center and right center block that formally supports it.
Although they commanded 11 ministries ,,, and had an average of 40% of their council benches by supporting the two measures that, behind the scenes, contradict the interests of the Planalto Palace.
União Brasil is the one that concentrates the most infidels: 60% of the bench. It is followed by Republicans (45%) and PP (43%). The PSD of (31%) and the Rossi whale (27%) are the ones that were most aligned with the government.
These three requirements – an amnesty, one from CPI and one of INSS’s mixed CPI – represent an important thermometer of this open -opposed basis between these allies because, besides being current, they are themes in which the center has not moved organically to the opposition side.
That is, it is more evident the list of parliamentarians of these parties that often vote against the government, which is not possible to measure when there is a bloc alliance between centrão and opposition.
The three requirements help to explain with numbers the unstable situation Lula lives in Congress.
On paper, its support base is robust: it has 125 leftist deputies, its most faithful core, plus 242 of the center and right quintet, totaling 367 deputies – which represents more than 70% of the chairs of the House and would be sufficient to approve with clearance emends to the Constitution.
The petista’s life in the House, however, has been much more troubled.
CPI and amnesty requirements show that of the 242 parliamentarians of these five parties, 101 openly supported both and, in fact, are politicians who act mostly openly as opposed to Lula.
As a result, the petista’s royal base falls at 265, just over half of the 513 chairs, much more susceptible to bumps.
União Brasil has in the figure of the president of, David Alcolumbre (AP), the main link with the Planalto and controls three ministries – integration, tourism and communications.
The party’s history, which dates back to the military dictatorship support caption, and the map of its configuration show a very adverse scenario to Lula, however. União Brasil starred, for example, the episode of quasi-minister Pedro Lucas Fernandes, who accepted the invitation to communications and then rejected him after conflagration on the bench.
The support list of both the INSS CPI and the urgency of the amnesty project vote shows names such as Dani Cunha (RJ), Dayany Bittencourt (CE), Kim Kataguiri (SP), Mendonça Filho (PE) and Rosangela Moro (SP), Lula’s open critics, among many others.
The situation in the Senate is no better, despite alcohubre. Of the 7 senators of the subtitle, 4 signed the Mixed CPI application for the case of INSS: Sergio Moro (PR), Marcio Bittar (AC), Alan Rick (AC) and Jayme Campos (MT).
The party is in the process of assembling a federation with the PP (a ministry, sports) ,.
The PP that also records a high index of infidelity open to Lula, with names such as Delegate da Cunha (SP), Evair de Melo (ES) and Pedro Lupion (PR).
Republicans, who runs the Hug with Hugo Motta (PB), has a ministry, port and airports, but also in a large presence on the requirements list – 45% of the bench in both.
Among the center and right -wing allies of Lula, MDB and PSD continue to have a greater alignment, although they also have around a third of the bench conflagrated against the Planalto Palace.
These two parties are, for example, deputies Delegate Palumbo (MDB-SP), Osmar Terra (MDB-RS), Gilberto Nascimento (PSD-SP), Reinhold Stephanes Jr. (PSD-PR) and Sergeant Fahur (PSD-PR), notorious old men.
How it showed the Sheetin less than a month, among them the requirements and a.
This last episode was an example of the center’s block alliance with the opposition, situations in which the left is isolated and is defeated by a large majority – in the case, 315 votes to 143.
Lula won the 2022 election by a tight margin and, in short, saw the center and right parties win the majority in the House and Senate.
Given this, still during the transition sewed an alliance with the centron articulated by Arthur Lira (PP-AL), then mayor and newly sought from Bolsonaro’s stage.
Even after giving nine ministries to these acronyms – no number that would later rise to 11 – since 2023 has accumulated episodes of political infidelity.
Unlike past management, when petist governments had more popularity and had more control instruments on amendment release, Lula today deals with a fragile left, Claudicant popular approval and a congress strengthened by the mandatory and bulky execution of parliamentary amendments.
