To be fulfilled, promises of (all) the parties would drag Portugal to the deficit

The greatest impact would be with CDU, arrives and free. The most moderate is the PS, followed by IL and AD, the only minimally “serious” programs, the researchers say.

A study by ISEG coordinated by researcher António S. Silva investigated in detail the proposals of the electoral programs of parties with parliamentary seat (except PAN), in an analysis shared with the.

The result of the investigation concluded that theThe proposals of all parties “kick” Portugal to red.

“The idea of ​​this work is to try Raise the political debate a little and hold the parties responsibleas no one is currently trying to estimate the cost of the proposed options, which leads the programs to be quite unrealistic. In contrast to other countries, where programs are checked and discussed by external entities and where this scrutiny results in the proposals of parties are much more realistic, ”the researcher tells the weekly.

The program that would have the most impact would be that of CDUwith a minimum of 17.875 and a maximum of 24.848 million euros of associated costs. Spells arrest, in particular, with increasing public investment to 5% of GDP, or the overall wage increase by 15%. The deficit would increase by 8.7%.

Follows the He arriveswhich would provoke a deficit of 8.3% With measures such as the IRC rate to 15% or the creation of two IRS levels of 15% and 30%.

O Book bet on the new green pact, which would imply an investment that would reach 2% of GDP, which would cause a deficit of 5.4%. O Left block would also cause a negative balance of 3%.

Those who would cause less deficit would be AD (2.7%), IL (2.3%) and the most contained PS of all, but would still shoot Portugal to red – 1.2%negative.

António S. Silva criticizes: “the vast majority of these measures is not serious, Except for those of PS, AD and IL, in some part. These standards are not feasible, there is no money or possibility of indebtedness to finance them, and the European rules would not allow it. Treaty-propaganda“.

What to do? “Resplain parties to start making realistic proposals.”