“I will retell it with a sigh,
Somewhere, a long time ago,
There was a fork on the way
And I … I took the least beaten road
And that made all the difference. “
This is the final stanza of Robert Frost’s “The Road Not Taken) poem” The Road Not Taken “.
From a young age I am delighted with the meaning, beauty and conciseness of the poem. I remembered him again today, thinking about the situation of Brazil in the face of the challenge of. Also before us a fork opened – and the path we choose can make all the difference.
In the real world, the options rarely come ready and finished, simply by simply choosing the favorite. Rather, I think there is at least one alternative that is always available: the path of accommodation and inertia.
The other paths need to be built. They involve effort, setbacks, risks and achievements. The path that Brazil can build, in this context, is the one in which we commit all our resources to promote global coordination that leads to reduced emissions from, as provided for.
To have a chance to succeed in this challenge, we need to align our actions with our speech – “Walk The Talk” in happy expression in English. In this case, this implies primarily reducing to zero and renouncing projects incompatible with the fight against warming, such as the region.
A measure that may have a major effect on the reduction of the full destination of the 56 million hectares of non -destined public forests. These lands belonging to the Federal and State Governments of the Amazon have been the main focus of, which brings with it illegal deforestation and facilitates organized crime, preventing in practice the healthy economic development of the region.
The announcement of its destination for activities that preserve nature, such as conservation units and other protected areas – through a combined action of the federal government and states later this year – would be a powerful demonstration of commitment to combating deforestation and would decisively contribute to the success of.
Initiatives like this, as necessary, are far from enough to achieve global understanding. It will also remain the difficult task of – ebbing forces with the most progressive agents, such as the European Union – attracting the most recalcitrant nations to the agreement, such as the US and Russia.
There will always be voices defending passivity, aimed at short-term benefits and willing to “hitchhike” in the third party’s effort if they are successful. The supporters of this strategy may even help from scholarly quotes, such as Seneca-“Destiny leads to those who accept it and drags them who resist it,” or the maxims of popular wisdom, such as Jewish origin-“man plans and God laughs”-to discourage the struggle against established forces.
The path of inertia implies, for Brazil, to refrain from the responsibility of playing a prominent role in the construction of a global order that reduces gee emissions to zero and limit heating to 1.5ºC or 2ºC above pre-industrial levels.
The increase in emissions, year after year, highlights how the world has failed clamorously in the pursuit of this goal. Countries located in the tropical region, such as ours, will be the most affected by the consequences of this failure. We had in 2024 a “light” sample of what this path reserves us:
Events such as these will require us to focus investments in adaptation to the new reality: works against floods, relocation of threatened populations, detection and prevention of fire, and deal with the drop in agricultural productivity caused by changes in the rainfall regime.
All these investments, though indispensable, are only defensive; intended to prevent losses, but unable to generate wealth.
Already the scenario in which we succeed actively participate in a global agreement that values clean technologies and creates markets that reward low emissions and carbon capture processes opens to Brazil extraordinary opportunities, among which:
- the use of and the enormous potential for solar and wind energy to attract the country intensive energy industries;
- The combination of clean energy with organic processes, such as sugarcane fermentation, to produce fuels such as the best clean alternative for commercial navigation;
- Biofuels, an energy solution that competes with great advantage against fossil alternatives, in a low carbon;
- the differentiation of, through measurements that prove its efficiency far greater than the temperate zones, with regard to emissions, and;
- GEE capture through the preservation of forests and the restoration of degraded areas.
All of these alternatives are now available. What is missing is a global order that imposes the reduction of emissions and create the markets that appreciate them properly.
The contrast between the path of passivity and that of active leadership in building a new world order towards “net zero” corresponds to the difference between suffering his own fate and being the agent of his destiny.
COP30, in, offers the country a great opportunity to show the world a new stance, which needs to be supported by concrete actions. I seek in The phrase that best expresses the determined attitude that is expected of Brazil: “My path through the world, I trace myself.”
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