Lisbon-The first projections of the legislative elections in Portugal, released on Sunday (18) through the polls of the ballot box, point to the victory of the Central Democratic Alliance Coalition (AD). The Socialist Party (PS) appears in a dispute for second place against the far-right arrival that grows in the last election
The ballot box research was released at 16h of Brasilia by the Portuguese Catholic University, an hour after the closing of the vote in Portugal.
According to the data, AD, led by Luís Montenegro, should earn between 29% and 34% of the votes. The PS, with Pedro Nuno Santos as head of plate, appears with about 21% to 26%. Already arrives, André Ventura’s party, records 20% to 24% of the votes, enough to get 20 to 24 deputies.
“We will wait for the final verdict, but it seems to me to say, before the projections, that AD had a very reinforced electoral victory, the country reinforced confidence in the government of Portugal and the head of government, Dr. Luís Montenegro,” said Hugo Soares, PSD secretary general, Montenegro party.
See the research numbers of the Portuguese Catholic University:
- AD: 30.3 to 34.7% (82 to 94 deputies)
- PS: 21.6 to 25.8% (56 to 66 deputies)
- CH: 19.9 to 24.1% (55 to 65 deputies)
- IL: 4.2 to 7.4% (6 to 12 deputies)
- BE: 1 to 3.6% (1 to 4 deputies)
- Free: 3.3 to 6.5% (4 to 10 deputies)
- CDU: 1.4 to 4% (1 to 4 deputies)
- PAN: 0.5 to 2.5% (0 to 2 deputies)
- JPP: 0.2 to 0.8% (0 to 1 deputy)
Another survey, released by TVI/CNN Portugal, also gives AD advantage, but projects that arrives may exceed the PS. Check out the poll numbers:
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- AD: 29.1% to 35.1% (80 to 100 deputies)
- Enough: 19.5% to 25.5% (50 to 70 deputies)
- Socialist Party: 19.4% to 25.4% (50 to 70 deputies)
- Liberal initiative: 5% to 8% (6 to 14 deputies)
- Free: 3.2% to 6.2% (4 to 10 deputies)
- CDU: 1.3% to 4.3% (1 to 5 deputies)
- Left Block: 1.1% to 4.1% (1 to 5 deputies)
- PAN: 0.5% to 2.5% (0 to 2 deputies)
New government
With these numbers, AD will depend on alliances to form government – a scenario that was already foreseen in the latest research, reinforced by the projections of the ballot box.
In addition to the political dispute, one of the central themes of the election was the possibility of change in the rules for granting Portuguese citizenship. AD, which leads the current government, argues to increase from five to ten years the minimum residence time for immigrants requesting nationality, which can directly affect more than 500,000 Brazilians living in Portugal.
This was the third legislative claim in three years in the country, the result of a continuous political crisis marked by the resignation of socialist António Costa in 2023 and the fall of the Montenegro government in March this year.
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Preliminary figures released by the Portuguese Catholic University point to estimate of electoral participation between 58% and 64%, values that indicate at least equal abstention level, or perhaps even higher, than in the last election. In March last year, electoral participation was 59.8%.
