Trends consulting calculates deceleration of GDP of industry and services this year
GDP (Gross Domestic Product) of the Agricultural Sector will grow 5% by 2025 and will revert the 3.2% drop in the previous year, according to projections sent by the exclusivity to Poder360.
Despite the discharge, the variation is distant from the strong result of 2023 (+16.3%). This level is expected to be reached in the coming years. For example, an increase of 2.7% in 2026 is expected.
Gross domestic product is the sum of all the riches produced in a given period. It is one of the most important indicators of the performance of the economy of a sector. If the variation has grown, dynamics shows a heated scenario.
The recovery of agricultural GDP should be one of the factors that will pull the overall result of the country up, according to trends. Even so, the company calculates a slowdown in Brazil’s economy by 2025 – it will go from 3.4% to 1.9%.
In detailing agro results by state, there is a more robust acceleration in Mato Grosso and Mato Grosso do Sul. Both territories have a strong presence of the sector and were impaired the previous year with the negative variation by low crops.
Estimates show an acceleration in agricultural GDP in 18 federation units, as noted in the infographic below:
One of those who will slow down is Amapá. The agro GDP on site was growing in 2024 because the production base is small and positive variations bring percentage increase.
In 2025, this and 8 other states will fall in Agro activity compared to the previous year.
The official value of GDP is calculated by the IBGE (Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics). In the case of the indicator for the federation units, the agency discloses the official percentage with a 2 -year delay. Trends estimates are calculated from previous official data.
Cool industry
The sector has a rise in 1.8% and 0.9% in 2025 and 2026, respectively. The result will be pulled by a slowdown in the transformation industry.
Industry has a stronger relationship with interest compared to other sectors. Need more equipment financing, for example. It has to cool consumption and production, which impacts economic activity and tends to reduce inflation.
The height of industry since 2001 was in 2010, when it was growth of 10.2%. Read the detail:
Services also slow down
A lower expansion from 2025 to 2027 is expected compared to 2024. This is the most employed sector in the country. That is, cooling has greater potential for regret in the pocket of most citizens.
Understand what the sectors are
Read below a summary of what it is:
- Agriculture -Production of food, fibers and raw materials (soy, corn, meat, coffee). It is the sector most exposed to climate and exchange. It has a central role in Brazilian exports;
- Industry -Transform raw materials into products such as vehicles, appliances, steel and cement. It encompasses civil construction, mining, energy and manufacturing. Creates jobs for a more specialized audience;
- Services – covers activities such as trade, transportation, health, education, technology and financial sector. It is the largest sector of the economy by weight in GDP and employment. It depends strongly on domestic consumption and the income level of the population.
