If Russia attacked Finland or other Oriental country from NATO, the attack would probably be limited, according to Ed Arnold, principal researcher at the Royal United Services Institute (Rusi), a group of experts in defense and security, to the British newspaper . A limited attack would have a clear goal: to test the NATO unit, the expert explained.
“It would be very difficult for Russia to launch a large -scale attack against multiple objectives at the North and East of NATO borders,” said Arnold. “However, there is a significant possibility that Russia attack NATO with a smaller and more defined operation, designed to defeat it politically,” he added.
According to the expert, Russia could occupy an area several kilometers long, which would expand several kilometers on both sides. This scenario would put NATO in a “difficult situation”, despite and precisely because much territory would be captured, he said.
“I could create divisions and disagreements within NATO. From a perspective, there is a military attack on NATO soil that must be defeated. But there are those who say they do not want to run the risk of a war with a state with nuclear weapons for such a small piece of land,” he said.
Although Arnold considers that the limited operation described is more likely in a situation of potential conflict, does not completely rule out the possibility of a broader conflict.
“They say that Russia would not be prepared for a larger and broader conflict in Europe for several years. But tomorrow something like an accident or an error of calculation that would trigger a much broader conflict could happen,” he said.
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