Paraná survey research shows that the petista would draw, within the margin of error, with the governor of SP Tarcísio de Freitas; The search margin of the search is 2.5 pp
A survey by Paraná research in Mato Grosso do Sul shows that the former president (PL), and former first lady Michelle Bolsonaro lead the voting intentions in the Planalto dispute in 2026 against the president (PT).
The former president appears with 48.4%, while Lula added 24.8% with the electorate. In the dispute against Michelle Bolsonaro, if she was the choice to replace her husband, the current president adds 24.9% of voting intentions compared to 36.9% of the former first lady.
In confrontation with the governor of São Paulo, (Republicans), the petista would draw within the margin of error, which is 2.5 percentage points: the governor records 27.7%, while the president appears with 25.4%.
In all stimulated scenarios were also included (PDT), (União Brasil), (PSDB), (MDB) and (PSD).
Here’s the scenario with Jair Bolsonaro:
- Jair Bolsonaro (PL) – 48,4%;
- Lula (PT) – 24,8%;
- Ciro Gomes (PDT) – 7,7%;
- Junior Ratinho (PSD) – 6,3%;
- Ronaldo Caiado (União Brasil) – 2,6%;
- They don’t know/didn’t think – 3,8%;
- None/whites/nulls – 6,4%.
Here’s the scenario with Michelle Bolsonaro:
- Michelle Bolsonaro – 36,9%
- Lula (PT) – 24,9%;
- Junior Ratinho (PSD) – 10,3%;
- Ciro Gomes (PDT) – 9,5%;
- Ronaldo Caiado (União Brasil) – 6,0%;
- They don’t know/didn’t think – 4,5%;
- None/white/null – 7,8%.
Here’s the scenario with Tarcísio de Freitas:
- Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicans) – 27,7%
- Lula (PT) – 25,4%
- Junior Ratinho (PSD) – 12,6%;
- Ciro Gomes (PDT) – 10,9%;
- Ronaldo Caiado (União Brasil) – 4,7%;
- They don’t know/didn’t think – 6,1%;
- None/white/null – 12,5%.
Paraná research has in person interviewed 1,540 voters from 44 municipalities of Mato Grosso do Sul from 13 to 16 May. The margin of error is approximately 2.5 percentage points, more or less, and a degree of confidence of 95%.
Research aggregator
Power360 maintains a collection with thousands of surveys with known methodologies and on which it was possible to verify the origin of the information. There are studies conducted from the 2000 municipal elections. This is the largest and longest survey of electoral polls available on the Brazilian internet.
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The research information began to be compiled by the journalist, director of writing this power360, in his ite, in 2000. To access the old page with the surveys, click.
