Survey asked interviewees who would vote for candidates to be the same as the 2022 election; Former president would have 46.7% of the votes compared to 43.9% of the petista in a 1st round scenario
Survey released by the Atlasintel on Friday (30.MAI.2025) shows that if the elections were today, with the same candidates who disputed the Planalto in 2022, the former president (PL) would be ahead of the president (PT) in the first round. The former president, who is, would have 46.7% of the votes compared to 43.9% of the current chief executive.
The pedestrian appears with 3.8% of the votes and (MDB), with 2.1%. White and nulls would be 2.5% and 0.7% stated that they would vote for some other candidate for that election.
The research was conducted by Latam Pulse, Bloomberg and Atlasintel. The data were collected from May 19 to 23, 2025. They were interviewed via online questionnaires 4,399 people. The margin of error is 1 percentage point, more or less, and the confidence interval is 95%.
Lula x Tarcisio
In a scenario with the current governor of São Paulo (Republicans), the current head of the federal executive would have 44.1% of the votes compared to 33.1% of Paulista.
LULA X MICHELLE
Already in a clash against former first lady Michelle Bolsonaro, President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) also appears ahead, with 44.4% of the votes. The president of PL Woman appears with 33.5% of preferences.
Tarcisio x Haddad
The Atlasintel also tested a scenario with the governor of São Paulo Tarcísio de Freitas as a candidate on the right and the Minister of Finance (PT) as candidate on the left. There is a technical draw, within the search margin of the research, of 1 percentage point. Tarcisio would have 33.7% and Haddad, 33%.
2nd shift
In a possible 2nd round scenario, President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva would lose to Jair Bolsonaro, Tarcísio de Freitas and Michelle Bolsonaro. And would win from the governors (PSDB), (PSD) and (new).
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