Former President adds 46.1% of the state’s electoral preference against 29.5% of the petista, according to a survey by Paraná Research
Paraná survey research released on Tuesday (3.Jun.2025) shows that, although considered ineligible by the (Superior Electoral Court), the former president (PL) would beat the president (PT) in the state of Espírito Santo in a possible presidential dispute. This is the research (PDF – 430 kb).
Bolsonaro adds 46.1% of the electoral preference against 29.5% of the petista, according to the survey. Ciro Gomes (PDT) appears with 8.9% of the votes and the governor of Paraná, Ratinho Júnior (PSD), with 3%.
The survey interviewed 1,522 voters in 45 municipalities of Espírito Santo from May 28-31. The margin of error is 2.6 percentage points, more or less, and the degree of confidence is 95%.
Scenario 1
In a scenario without the former president and Michelle Bolsonaro, Lula would lose to the former first lady. The president of PL Mulher has 38.5% of the votes against 29.8% of the petista.
Scenario 2
Without Bolsonaro or Michele, the governor of Sao Paulo, Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicans) leaves in front of Lula, with 30.4% of the electoral preference. The current president appears with 29.8%.
APPROVAL
In the state, the Lula government is approved by 39% of the population and disapproved for 57.2%. Another 3.7% did not know or did not respond.
