With a few weeks late, the president () presented himself to deal with the IOF crisis in one, in which his willingness to fry allies proved to be alive, as well as to reaffirm his willingness to seek reelection in 2026.
The confusion around the increase in the tax on financial operations, which says little from an electoral point of view, but brings with the said market, was taken in a water bath by a Lula in international travel mode.
No more. This Tuesday (3), the petista stressed the minister (farm) again, saying that he did not make mistakes, of course, but is the culprit for the crisis. “In an eagerness to respond to society,” said the president.
Society in the case is at Faria Lima and the highest middle class that, for all purposes, is already looking for a candidate for next year. The strata who supported Lula and gave him the former margin of victory over () in 2022 do not return to the former president, but neither will be with the petista.
The calculation is electoral: Lula knows that the same Faria Lima supports the less interventionist, “liberal” attempts between the farm. Then he played Haddad on the fire, with him, and seeking to deny that his government follows a booklet of tax expansionism at the expense of others.
Lula’s interview was revealing in a central aspect. In it, the president presents himself as the owner of the ball in his political field, then only viable candidate for next year’s dispute. With Haddad’s dilapidated political chief and the lack of names around him, it is almost truism.
The petista handed over his game by criticizing more hard, the licensed deputy who is in the United States campaigning to attack those who threaten to put his father in jail.
Calling Eduardo to the ring, something of efficacy in simple thesis given voluntarism and dubious sophistication of Bolsonaro’s Zero-Trees political praxis, is actually a way of trying to keep the right properly spit.
The best scenario for Lula is the Bolsonaro family united around Jair’s fate, which through the carriage floor should be the prison – he is already. Just as the petista himself did in 2018, when he pretended to be a candidate on the Undécima Hora, the former president is increasingly betting on a “internal corporis” solution in Barra da Tijuca.
It’s Eduardo, as was Flavio and it is, in the head of PL, Michelle. The tactic is the anchor that prevents the Brazilian right from organizing a candidacy, whether more scholarship or more moderate, and this is great for a hesitant squid today in government evaluation polls.
If he keeps his direction, Bolsonaro will leave the presidential presidential thesis of the group, the governor (-SP), in a position of seeking a quiet reelection at home. The other, even less dense names will be left: Romeu Zema (Novo-MG), Ronaldo Caiado (União-GO), Eduardo Leite (-RS) and Questions.
Whatever, Centrão, PSD and MDB only stand nominally in government, speaking in alternatives to 2026 – and ready to repay if Lula is in office. Congress has so far showed a mixture of even larger inapherence and parishing than the usual standard, which raises the climate of paralysis.
Obviously,. By keeping his combative spirit that saves no allies at the time of the tightening, and indicating the theorist north of his cannons, Lula in his most atavical popularity and the effect of the numerous generous rabbits that has been drawn from the government’s top hat to say he is in the match.
