The consultation also tested a scenario between the president and Jair Bolsonaro, who is ineligible by 2030 by decision of the TSE; In this simulation, the former leader would win the dispute with 46.1% of voting intentions
In a first-turn scenario against former first lady, Lula obtained 29.8% of voters’ voting intentions, while Michelle Bolsonaro came out of 38.5%. Still in this simulation, former minister Ciro Gomes (PDT) appears with 10.1%of voting intentions, the governor of Paraná, Ratinho Jr. (PSD), with 4.8%, and the governor of Goiás, Ronaldo Caiado (Union), with 3.2%. Of the interviewees, 8.6% said they vote blank or null and 4.9% did not respond.
Already in a scenario with Tarcisio de Freitas, President Lula has 29.8% of voting intentions and Tarcisio, 30.4%. The percentages would configure a technical draw taking into account the margin of error of 2.6 percentage points of the research. Still in this simulation, Ciro Gomes appears with 10.5%, Ratinho Junior with 6.6%and Ronaldo Caiado with 2.5%. In addition, 13.7% of respondents declared a blank or null vote, and 6.1% did not know or did not want to give their opinion.
The survey also tested a scenario between President Lula and former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL), which is ineligible until 2030 by decision of the Superior Electoral Court (TSE). In this simulation, Bolsonaro would win the dispute with 46.1% of voting intentions, while Lula would have 29.5%. Then Ciro Gomes, with 8.9%, Junior Mouse, with 3%, and Ronaldo Caiado, with 1.4%. White or null votes add up to 7.4%, and 3.5% of respondents said they did not know or preferred not to give their opinion.
Majority in ES disapproves of Lula administration
In addition, the survey also showed how the capixabas evaluate the federal government. According to the data, 57.2% of Espírito Santo voters disapprove of President Lula’s management, while 39% say they approve their administration.
The analysis segmented by demographic profile reveals that disapproval to the Lula administration is more pronounced among men, with 61.8% disapproval. Among women, the president had an approval rate of 42.4% against 53.1% of disapproval.
*With information from Estadão Content
Posted by Nátaly Tenório