He is 2007 and the then Republican candidate for President of the US, Senator, Joe McCain and opponent of the later winner of the Barack Obama elections, causes a worldwide shock when he appears in a video singing at the rhythm of the song Barbara Ann, Bomb, Bomb Bomb, Bomb, Bomb Bomb, Bomb Bomb. Bombard it). “
McCain has gone out of life, Obama has finished two terms, then Biden came and now in the second Trump term, the senator’s vision came true. Of course, in the end, Iran was not bombed – by the way – the US itself, but the.
Nearly 20 years Netanyahu was promoting blows against Iran’s nuclear
In the distant 2007, Benjamin Netanyahu and Likund were in the opposition, but a few years later Bibi as prime minister had found a clear ears in the US, especially in the Republican camp for his plan to hit Iran. His confrontation with Barack Obama on the nuclear deal is legendary and his poor relationship with the US leadership continued until the first Trump term.
The relations between the two sides were relatively bad in the Biden period, but this apparently changed quickly with the US presidency again by Donald Trump.
The Trump factor, the before and the now
The Trump-Netanyahu relationship was tested a month ago, shortly before Donald Trump’s visit to the Middle East, where the US president essentially presented the US agenda for the area during his meetings, snooping the Israeli prime minister.
But it is now clear that when the US president then argued by speaking to reporters that “the fact that I develop relations with the countries of the Middle East is very good for Israel”, he meant.
In Israeli’s “attack rehearsals” (in April and in October 2024), but also in Iran’s “response rehearsal” at the time, it was known that the Israeli fighters had passed through the airspace of both Syrian (then with Assad) and Iraq.
Those attacks were of limited duration and range and then there were no substantial reactions from Iran to these details.
A lot of questions about how we got to escalation
At this stage the situation is completely different. Israel’s attacks on Iran’s nuclear facilities continue for a second 24 hours and the targets that have hit Israeli fighters are extremely deep in the Iranian territory. The questions that arise are many. Where the Israeli fighters passed, which countries … allowed it and why.
According to various reports, Israeli Israeli fighters passed through the Syrian airspace, undisturbed. There are also reports – which seem to have a substance as there is a relative protest on the part of the Iraqi government – that they have passed through Iraq’s airspace. But these do not cover the whole picture, since the Israeli business is particularly wide.
Part of the answer to the above questions certainly bears the stamp of Trump’s Political Policy in the Middle East, as expressed through the pressure it exerts for convergence between the Arab countries and the monarchies with Israel through the restoration or replacement of Abraham’s agreements.
Arab reaction and their tolerance
Both Saudi Arabia and other Arab countries, in addition to fiery announcements of condemnation of the attack, have not made moves that could “hurt” Israel or show at least a reaction. Their attitude is essentially reminiscent of the attitude they adhere to and towards the developments in Gaza, which has removed them from the possibility of convergence with Israel, but without this removal having some “material” substance.
The Foreign Ministries of the Gulf Cooperation Council countries – with the exception of Bahrain – denounced Israeli blows and demanded that the conflict be found. Lebanon and Jordan have issued similar statements. The Saudi Foreign Ministry said the Israeli attacks on Iran “constitute a clear violation of international laws and rules”.
“While the Basilisation condemns these heinous attacks, it confirms that the international community and the Security Council are responsible for stopping this attack immediately,” a statement by the Saudi Foreign Ministry said. Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Minister, Faisal bin Farhan, later phoned his Iranian counterpart, urging him to “reject the use of violence”.
Along with the above many countries in the region, apparently only for political flights, but – according to references – for the Iranian missiles and drones.
The silence of the Syrian government
Of particular interest, however, that there is no official position on the Syrian side for 48 hours. Syria apparently, from where the Israeli fighters passed, there is now a new government, it is rather unable to stand up to the escalation of the intensity in which the region is de facto driven by the Israeli attacks and the refusal of Iran’s own.
And it is weak, among other things, because Israel has arranged to create the conditions, both through its raids against Syrian air defense and by political means, to influence within the “New Syria” and not count it as an opposing force.
Turkey and its lionesses
The only obstacle to this Israeli policy towards Syria could be Turkey by Recep Tayyip Erdogan and the very close relations he has with the government of Ahmad al -Saraa.
However, despite Erdogan’s harsh language and her lionesses even Ankara at this stage, she does not appear willing to use her influence on Syria or her power to prevent any Israeli attacks on Iran.
According to various reports, the Turkish side was limited to a spectator during the first wave of Israeli attacks, for which it was allegedly had extremely detailed knowledge. In a report on Murat Yetkin’s Yetkin Report, Israel’s initial attack came in six waves, with the first of them designed to confuse the real goals. Everything went through Syria’s airspace, some turned back and some went into Iraq’s airspace.
The Iraqi government has substantially confirmed these reports, as it filed a protest to the UN Security Council over the “violation of Iraqi airspace”, which “is also a blatant violation of its sovereignty”.
For its part, Turkey, according to the Yetkin Report, believes that Israel’s goal is not the nuclear program, but a change of regime in Iran (there is an Israeli minister with his son Shah in X with the caption “soon in Tehran”).
Soon in Tehran
– Amichai Shikli – Amichai Chikli (@amichaichikli)
BOMB IRAN or regional ignition?
From the above, the reasonable conclusion is that the vision of John McCain and Benjamin Netanyahu, under the complete supervision of Donald Trump (who, as he said, was aware of Israel’s plans for attack) becomes a reality in a Middle East that remains a spectator.
But the extent, duration and intensity of the confrontation are sure to play a role in developments and whether the idea of Macken and Bibby will eventually bring a wider conflict in the region with other players’ involvement or lead to a change of regime in Iran.
