For the first time since the beginning of the historical series of, in December 2022, the portion of Brazilians who declare themselves pockets equal to those who identify themselves as petistas.
The group that is closer to the president’s party () fell from 39% to 35% from the last survey, made in April. Meanwhile, those who claim to support the former president () advanced from 31% to 35%, their highest level in the period.
Over the past two and a half years – score after those who led Lula to his third term – the institute asked nine occasions to the interviewees: “Considering a (pocketist) scale to five (petista), in which number do you fit?”
People who answered “one” or “two” were classified as pockets, and those who say “four” or “five” were categorized as petistas. Added, these two polarized groups represent 70% of the population.
The rest is divided between the 20% that answered “three”, therefore considered neutral; Another 7% who claimed not to identify with either side; And 2% more that could not answer. These percentages remained at the same level throughout the historical series.
The fall of the petist group coincides with the Lula government’s popularity crisis. Last week, which 40% evaluate him as bad or bad and 28%, good or great, which makes him keep the brand of greatest disapproval of his three terms.
The minister turns five months ahead of Secom so far improves the situation and find a mark for the third passage of the petista through the Planalto, amid a period of successive crises that shake management.
On the other hand, NO (Supreme Federal Court) did not seem to splash in its image among supporters. He is on charges of leading an attempt to coup to prevent Lula’s possession after the 2022 elections.
The survey was done in person on June 10 and 11, so during and after the minister, broadcast on open TV. 2,004 people were interviewed in 136 municipalities in all regions of the country, with a margin of error of two percentage points.
This is the first time that the installments of petistas and pockets vary at the maximum limit of the margin of error of the survey ,. In all other searches, they had oscillated within the bank, but not at the limit, signaling stability.
The advantage of the PT supporters compared to Bolsonaro’s reached its apex (ten points) on two occasions: in March 2023 and March 2024. In other surveys, the difference ranged from six to eight points, reaching a draw this past week.
