When Israel launched the Russian officials described the current climbing in the Middle East as “Alarming” and “dangerous”. Even so, the Russian media hastened to highlight the possible positive aspects for Moscow. Which is it? Well, starting with a Increased oil prices which is expected to drive the coffers of the Federation; the Distraction of World Attention to the War of Russia against Ukraine And, if the Kremlin is accepted to mediate in the conflict, the possibility of presenting itself as A key actor in and as a peacemaker, despite his actions in Ukraine.
That is the drawing of the first hours of crisis that, the man of the BBC in Russia, and possibly the journalist who best knows the country of. But those three optimistic readings for their government are not so much if it is appreciated, however, that “The longer the Israel military operation is prolonged, the greater the awareness that Russia has much to lose with current events”.
“The escalation of the conflict entails serious risks and potential costs For Moscow, “Russian political scientist Andrei Kortunov wrote in the Economic newspaper Kommersant on Monday. “The fact is that Russia could not avoid a massive attack by Israel against a country with which five months ago [Rusia] He signed a comprehensive strategic association agreement. “It is clear that Moscow He is not willing to go beyond political statements that condemn Israel; You are not willing to provide military assistance to Iran“He adds.
The one that Putin and the president of Iran, Masoud fishshkian, signed earlier this year It is not a military alliance. This does not force Moscow to go out in defense of Tehran. “However, at that time Moscow praised him,” Rosenberg recalls.
In an interview with the news agency RIA Novosti, the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Sergei Lavrov, said that the agreement pays “special attention to the Strengthening coordination for the benefit of peace and security at regional and world level, and to the desire of Moscow and Tehran of a cooperación narrower in security and defense. “
In the last six months, Moscow has already lost a key ally in the Middle East:. Behind him overthrow From the dictator last December, asylum was offered in Russia. The perspective of one and the idea of losing another strategic partner in the region will be a great worry For Moscow.
When commenting on events in the Middle East on Tuesday, Moskovsky Komsomolets concluded: “In today’s world policy, massive changes in real time are being produced that will affect life in our country, either directly or indirectly”.
Putin will spend much of this week in St. Petersburg, where the city welcomes its Annual International Economic Forum. The event was once called “El Davos de Russia”, but that label no longer has application. In recent years, the executive directors of the large western companies have remained remoteespecially from the large -scale invasion of Ukraine by Russia. However, the organizers claim that this year will attend representatives of More than 140 countries and territories.
Russian authorities will almost surely use the event to try to demonstrate that attempts to isolate Russia in the war in Ukraine have failed. “It may be an economic forum, but geopolitics is never far.”
