In just two days of work this week, the National Congress was able to impose a sequence of defeats on the government. Created the Parliamentary Commission of Inquiry (CPMI) that will investigate deviations from INSS beneficiaries. Approved the project’s urgency to overthrow the proposal to increase IOF rates. And knocked down 12 presidential vetoes, 11 of the Lula administration.
The other overthrown veto was still from the time of President Jair Bolsonaro, involving bioinsums and agricultural self -control.
According to trends political scientist Rafael Cortez, the government is not over yet, but has more difficulty putting its schedule to approve. “It is certainly a government that has low agenda power and the tendency is that it only increases as we approach the elections,” said Cortez.
According to him, there is a limited leadership of President Lula in the face of low popularity, the anticipation of the electoral calendar, finally, and the political environment as all.
The INSS CPMI has the potential to bring a lot of wear to the Lula administration, although the complaints started in the Bolsonaro government. The commission must have a government base president and an opposition rapporteur. In addition, the government had an increase in collection, as in the case of IOF, and Congress does not seem willing to contribute to it.
In the case of the IOF decree, Cortez pointed out that the government had already made a negotiation with Congress and sent a new decree. “The government had already negotiated. And the decrees are unilateral, so for you to have a decree overthrow, it is an expression of very important political distance,” said the political scientist.
But there are other factors that have contributed to the constant defeats of the executive in the legislature. This is the case, for example, of parliamentary amendments that have had much greater volume and importance in recent years.
“Parliamentary amendments have gained very important protagonism to understand the behavior of parliamentarians. They have very much left the volume of resources. The degree of freedom in the use of these resources by parliamentarians has also increased, because they are called mandatory amendments,” he said.
However, according to the political scientist, when the judiciary, in the figure of the Federal Supreme Court, especially by Minister Flávio Dino, makes an intervention, generates a response from the legislature to somehow call the government to press the STF.
Cortez also cited more structural questions, such as the increasing distance between left and right. “We are still marked by radicalization, the distance between left and right and a very fierce competition between the parties. So this is also part of the explanation, he says.
