The latest research, published by stages from 13/6, highlights two facts especially important for the government. The first is dissociation between positive economic indicators – GDP growth and the expansion of formal employment – and the ambiguous feeling of Brazilians in the face of the country’s situation and themselves, now and in the future.
Increased the contingent of those who believe that in recent months, things have changed to worse in Brazil, understanding that it has remained the same for them. On the other hand, expectations are optimistic about the country and the interviewee, who sees his life improving, despite predicting that inflation and unemployment will continue to rise and that the purchasing power of wages will shrink in the near future.
If advanced in macroeconomics, it does not seem to have been translated into unequivocal sense of personal improvement – only less in gratitude to the government, disapproved by half of respondents, or the president, regarded as bad or bad by 40%.
The second fact revealed by the poll is that the government, when compared to Bolsonaro, does not do very well in some areas traditionally valued on the left agenda. In fact, the portion of those who consider that the former metallurgical has been better done that the former captain is the same as those who consider him less than his predecessor in the defense of the environment, health policies and what was the flagship of petist administrations: the fight against poverty. At first glance, nonsense. Only it is not.
Interviewed on TV Cultura’s Roda Viva program, on the 16th, researcher Felipe Nunes, director of Quaest and teacher of the Getulio Vargas Foundation, noted that Brazilians no longer fear losing social achievements when the governments change. For the change to occur, the continuity of the Bolsonaro government, renamed Brazil aid.
In a way, the success of a program, which makes its reversal costly – and transforms it into state policy – dilutes its paternity. Few remember that it began in the Sarney government; Or that Fundeb originated at Fundef, created by Minister Paulo Renato de Souza, in the Tucana management.
Thus, the Datafolha survey sheds light on real obstacles faced by the current government and that do not originate only in possible communication problems with the public or a real lack of own brand.
Past achievements do not guarantee support in the present. Already initiatives of bolder forms of redistribution-as the proposal for exemption of up to R $ 5,000, compensated for the taxation of super rich-enforce the opposition of entrenched interests in Congress.
Social policies beyond those established, such as increasing specialized SUS care; the improvement of the quality of education; or the strengthening of effective monitoring systems against environmental prey costs expensive and bumps into insurmountable tax limitations.
Everything added, in Brazil today seems to be minimal the space for progressive innovation.
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