Scientists dealing with climate change in the new report warn that the time to stop the change is shortening. At the same time, carbon dioxide emissions remain only three years until the world runs out of the carbon budget and reaches a critical warming limit of 1.5 ° C.
According to the analysis, humanity remains 130 billion tons of carbon dioxide, which can still be released into the atmosphere before the warming boundaries are over 1.5 ° C compared to the pre -industrial period. If the emissions continue at the current pace, this limit will be exhausted in the course of three years.
If the emissions continue unchanged, the budget to limit warming will be 1.6 ° C or 1.7 ° C depleted in nine years. The authors point out in the report that In 2024, they recorded alarming high temperatures when the global temperature reached 1.52 ° C above the pre -industrial average. Of these, 1.36 ° C is directly added to human activity and 0.16 ° C by natural fluctuations.
“The window for staying below 1.5 ° C quickly closes. Warming in the next decade will determine how soon and how quickly we reach this limit, ” Professor Joeri Rogelj, co -author of the study and climatologist at the University of London. The Indicators of Global Climate Change report, which participated in six dozen scientists, follows ten key climate change indicators and provides a wide picture of the planet’s state.
“Global warming is largely determined by the total amount of carbon dioxide that humanity will ever release into the atmosphere. If we want to keep warming below a certain threshold, there is a limited amount of emissions that we can afford, “Rogeli told The Mail. Scientists calculated that every year humanity deletes approximately 53 billion tons of co₂.
If the emissions are not significantly and rapidly reduced, it will not be possible to avoid exceeding 1.5 ° C, which will lead to more serious consequences for the planet and human society. Although the year 2024 was warmer than 1.5 ° C compared to pre -industrial average, This does not automatically mean a violation of the Paris Agreement, which refers to exceeding in the long -term average.
The average temperature of the Earth’s surface between 2015 and 2024 was 1.24 ° C higher than before the industrial revolution. Scientists say that virtually all this warming is caused by human activity.
“How many carbon budget remains is dependent on what warming we consider to be acceptable and what risk we are willing to take. In order to avoid dangerous levels of warming, we must stop emissions as soon as possible. Every year the delay multiplies this problem, “added Professor Rogeli.
