António Pedro Santos / Lusa
Marques Mendes wins land after Gouveia and Melo officially announce the candidacy and have given the first interview. But the admiral in reserve is still in front of intentions.
Henrique Gouveia and Melo continues to lead voting intentions to the 2026 presidential, but his advantage against him considerably, according to the latest intercampus barometer, held in June to, Correio da Manhã and CMTV.
Gouveia and Melo collects 27.3% of voting intentionsa considerable break from the 35.6% that registered in March. Already Marques Mendes rises to 18.5%growing 4.6 percentage points since the last poll.
Third comes with 11%, also with an increase in relation to the 7.7% recorded in the previous poll.
André Venturawhich in March positioned itself with 12.4%, See your support fall to 8.4%although it has not yet confirmed if it will be a candidate.
Names with less expression in intentions are that of Mariana Mortágua (3.7%), Sampaio da Nóvoa (3.6%), Paulo Raimundo (2.4%) and Mariana Leitão (1.8%)which recently announced his candidacy for IL’s leadership and has already abdicated the presidential race.
The barometer also points to a Non number of undecided: 23.2% Of respondents do not yet know or prefer not to answer who will vote for.
In scenarios of Second round, remains the favoritebut with tighter margins. Against Marques Mendes, he would obtain 41.1% of the votes (compared to 51.6% in March), while the social democrat would rise to 35.4% (28.5% in March). In a dispute with António José Seguro, Gouveia and Melo would have 44.5% against 32.2%, a difference also lower than in previous months.
If the second lap were between Seguro and Marques Mendes, the latter would win with 41.2% against 30%, repeating the March numbers, with 28% undecided.
As for the PS, uncertainty remains who will support officially. Among the most mentioned names, António José Seguro leads the preferences of socialist voters with 25.8%, followed by António Vitorino with 15.3%, Ana Gomes with 12.5%and Augusto Santos Silva with 8.1%. However, 38.3% of respondents continue without a definite position on which of these names would prefer.
