The federal government updated the calculations on the financial impact of the amendments included by Congress in the Offshore Wind Energy Regulation Project – the so -called “jabutis” – and estimates that the cost of these measures will exceed $ 525 billion by 2040, according to the investigation of the CNN Brazil.
The new projection represents an annual cost of R $ 35.06 billion, exceeding the R $ 32 billion initially estimated by the technical team. The value is also significantly higher than R $ 197 billion up to 2050 calculated by the National Front of Energy Consumers (FCE).
Thermal hiring concentrates most of the cost
The most impact item is the obligation to hire natural gas thermoelectric plants, with previously defined locations and volumes of energy. The measure represents R $ 20.6 billion per year, totaling R $ 309 billion in 15 years.
In addition, hiring small hydroelectric power plants (SHPs) adds another R $ 12.4 billion per year, or R $ 186 billion by 2040. These two jabutis together account for over 94% of the total cost of the projected impact.
Hydrogen, wind and proinfa also enter the account
Other devices that raise the cost of energy for consumers are:
• Green hydrogen plants: R $ 1.2 billion/year (R $ 18 billion until 2040)
• Additional Winds (outside the main regulation): R $ 260 million/year (R $ 3.9 billion)
• Extension of Proinfa (Alternative sources incentive program): R $ 600 million/year (R $ 9 billion)
Lobbies pressure and offshore energy milestone
The inclusion of the “jabutis” – amendments to the original scope of the project – has been criticized by experts and electricity sector associations, who warn of the risk of structural enhancement of the energy tariff in Brazil.
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Originally, the project aimed to create a regulatory framework for the exploration of wind energy in the high seas. However, gas lobbies pressure and SHP inserted compulsory hiring devices and cross -subsidies, raising the invoice to consumers and making energy transition difficult.
