Research shows that most Brazilians (57%) are in favor of allowing presidents, governors and mayors to dispose of reelection, contrary to what is being processed in the Senate. Another 41%.
The survey indicates, on the other hand, that most of the population (59%) supports the expansion of all elective terms from four to five years, as provided for in the project. In this case, 37% are opposed.
The two points are central themes of the proposal of amendment to the Constitution that was approved last month by the Commission of Justice of (PEC 12/2022). It intends in the Executive and to unify the duration of the mandates and the dates of the.
The text, under the rapporteur of Senator Marcelo Castro (MDB-PI), still needs to be approved in two shifts by at least 60% of senators (the equivalent of 49 of the 81 votes) and then the deputies (308 of the 513 votes), which is not yet expected to happen.
Any changes would be made gradually and would not affect the 2026 elections.
The last time Datafolha asked about reelection was ten years ago in June 2015, when the scenario was opposite: 67% were against allowing the president to try a new term, and 30%, in favor – similar to those registered in the state and municipal spheres.
At the time, the country was experiencing a political and economic crisis, with the second government of former President Dilma Rousseff (PT) cornered by Operation Lava Jato, Congress and protests on the streets, in a scenario that would pave the way to impeachment the following year.
With the current results, Brazil returns to levels registered in November 2007, almost a year after the reelection of (PT). At the time, 58%of Brazilians endorsed the possibility of reelection of the president, 57%, the governors, and 56%, of the mayors.
In July 2005, Datafolha’s first measurement date on the subject, the rates were higher. Supporting the possibility of competing in a new term reached 65%, 64% and 63% in each sphere, respectively, in a period when the federal government supported high approval.
This time, the Institute in person interviewed 2,004 people 16 years or older on June 10 and 11, in 136 municipalities in all regions of the country. The error margin is two percentage points, more or less.
The research shows greater support for presidential reelection among young people aged 16 to 24, the least educated and the poorest. The index is also higher among voters who approve of the current Lula government (74%) and the most identified with the PT (71%) compared to those who prefer the PL (48%).
The number, however, does not vary so much according to the color or religion of the interviewees.
Regarding the expansion of terms to five years, Datafolha had asked the same question in December 2019. Since then, the percentage that is favorable to change has grown from 53% to 59%, while the contrary rate retreated from 42% to 37%.
Supporting longer mandates is higher among men (63%) than among women (55%) and also among the most educated (65%) and those that have a monthly family income of five to ten minimum wages (68%).
