The development of the conflict between Israel and Iran has been watching closely for two weeks by Ukrainians.
In this case, in this case, in particular, the question of what impact the continued tension in the Middle East could have a war by Moscow.
Experts pointed out that the war in another part of the world is diverting attention from what is happening in Eastern Europe, but there was also a warning that the impacts of the armed conflict between Israel and Iran could fill the treasury of the Russian budget.
“The US President, who constantly emphasized the need to avoid the Third World War, is now becoming one of the key players whose actions can directly determine if such a war will occur. Of course, it is a dangerous precedent for us. He commented on the Ukrainian political scientist Maksym Jyhun for the US stroke on Iranian nuclear devices.
Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski recalled on Monday that tensions in the Middle East could have a direct impact on the war in Ukraine, especially for the rise in oil prices. In fact, rising oil and gas prices mean increasing the revenue of the Russian budget.
Some experts also pointed out that the problem could arise when procuring weapons. Another wave of armaments could cause both the rise in prices of weapons or air defense systems, as well as their lack of market.
“We will have to look for them or produce them, which also requires time, and in the meantime our people will die,” he recently commented on the director of the Ukrainian Center for Middle Eastern Studies Ihor Semyvolos.
Trump has moved attention. And with it the world
Even Ukrainian analyst Maria Zolkin said that the new focus of Trump and hence world attention is a bad news for Ukraine.
“Trump is looking for loud results, fast political dividends that would consolidate his image as a ‘big’ leader ‘leader’. Only the tools are changing to achieve this goal. At first he hoped to reach the negotiations: he would bring Russia and Ukraine, Israel and Hamas – there. Attention has also been moved from the calls to the bombing.
Ukrainian analyst Mychajlo Samus said at the after the American attack for a change that it is a “new geopolitical stage” that brings “significant reformatting the world”.
“However, models of this world are not yet intended and will form depending on how each of the players will act in practice. Time, deep concern ‘has passed. Now that you can – do Ukraine can. If we succeed – we will be new leaders of Europe.
Fewer drone attacks?
In connection with the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, the Ukrainian agency has brought the view of Turkish expert Oytun Orhan, according to which the confrontation between Israel and Iran can lead to a reduction in the share of military aid that Tehran sends to Russia. According to the expert, this could lead to a reduction in the use of drone kamikaze in the war against Ukraine.
“If the conflict between Iran and Israel is escalated, Iran will inevitably need more military systems and weapons against Israel. In this case, Iran will prefer the fight against Israel and direct its limited military potential,” Orhan said.
On the other hand, Israel focused on Iranian military capacities during its airy offensive operations. A few days ago, for example, Israeli defensive forces that during the attack on the Iranian port Bandar Abbas targeted the warehouses of drones and weapons.
In this context, however, it should be remembered that the Russians are already producing thousands of their own drones per month. Ukrainian military intelligence that Russia will produce approximately 2700 unmanned aircraft type Shahid and approximately 2500 unmanned baits.
Compared to 2024, this is a five -fold increase in drone production.
A few days ago, the Ukrainian President Volodymyr Greenyr Greesiness recalled that Tehran supplied not only Shahids, but also missiles and also provided her licenses for their production. “The fact that their (Iranian) production capacities have now weakened is positive for us. But it may be too late at certain points,” he quoted the green website.
Will Putin be hungry for Ford?
Some commentators did not hide the surprise that while in the case of the Russian-Ukrainian war, Donald Trump pushed mainly for concessions and negotiations, in the case of a conflict between Israel and Iran it was more decisive and did not hesitate to use even the most modern American weapons.
“I think that many in Ukraine look at it with the idea that such a devastating attack deserves a different country – much worse than Iran,” wrote Ukrainian historian Maksym Major.
However, he also wondered that Moscow could retract the American strike on the nuclear facilities of its ally on the Ukrainian battlefield. In the paper he mentioned that the various interventions of the West have always read the Russians as a provocation, so it is therefore possible, according to Majorov, that if the Kremlin had any political constraints on war against Ukraine, they could disappear.
“Putin is seeing Ukraine for Kosovo, Sadam (Hussein), for the triumph of Azerbaijan in Karabakh and the video for Trump-Gaza.
Ukrainian military analyst Kostiantyn Mašovec that Ukraine could take several lessons from the current conflict in the Middle East. It also mentions one of them – the need to build a whole complex of strategic air defense.
“Israel would be able to solve a strategic role, to put it, to complicate the Iranian nuclear and missile programs without transforming his own aviation, air defense and missile defense into the highly effective strategic contours of the whole country?
