On Monday, shortly after announcing a high fire agreement between Iran and Israel, and hours before embarking on the Hague to participate in the NATO Summit, Donald Trump hung up messages in Truth Social urging Republicans in Congress to join and approve The proposal of Fiscal Law and Immigration and Defense who has baptized how “One Big Beatiful Bill”, One, great and beautiful.
That is the Great legislative priority of Trump, for whose approval marked the objective of the Symbolic Date of July 4. Has forced him to Tread the accelerator To try to achieve that meta self -imposed. And his campaign intensifies twice.
On the one hand the president performs public events, As one this Thursday in the White House, with which he tries much more disapproval (59%) than approval (38%). On the other hand, he maintains frantic activity in private, with meetings and calls to Capitol Hill in which he is pressing republican legislators with reluctance to abandon them.
Trump leaves behind days focused on foreign policy and especially in the Middle East, especially after Saturday added the US to the Israel War in Iran and bombarded three nuclear facilities. It is for complete success that risky bet and even relaxes the urgency for returning to the negotiating table with Iran Regarding its nuclear program, as confirmed on Thursday, the press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, which has indicated that A potential meeting is not closed next week between representatives of Washington and Tehran.
Controversial mastodon
The undoubted focus is to try to ensure the support of Republicans in Congress to that Proposal of Fiscal Law, a mastodon con Transformer potential for the US. The norm raises make permanent tax cuts of the first mandate, that benefit the highest income, as well as Raise the budget for defense at 150,000 million and the same amount for border and immigration Trump policies.
They are part of monumental expenses that the norm raises to compensate with deep cuts in social programs as Medicaidpublic health for lower income and people with disabilities, and Food help.
The republican consensus around the norm is not guaranteed. He May 22 The proposal got get ahead in the lower house In a very tight vote 215-214, With two Republicans adding to the Democrats in opposition. Now Touch the Senate, where there is internal opposition to the text as it has come from the lower house. With a majority 53-47, John Thune, the Republican leader, cannot afford to lose more than three votes.
Some of the senators, ultraconservatives associated with the Maga Movement as Josh Hawley, warn that The cuts are going to harm a part of the electorate that historically identified with the Democrats but now it is fundamental to them. There is also opposition from others such as Rand Paul, a libertarian who does not want to raise the endowment to defense and alert that the accounts are going to add 4 billion debt in a decade. And other tax hawks reject a rule that, According to the Congress Budget Office, the deficit will raise 3.4 billion In the next ten years.
Pressure
The White House has tried minimize those concerns with much more positive calculations from the Council of Economic Advisors that contradict those of the office of the Congress Budget or of reputed entities such as the Budget Lab of the University of Yale.
To internal reluctance, however, they have added another challenge: the Senate parliamentarian He has indicated provisions that must be taken out of the text if you want to vote, as the Republicans intend and need for the so -called reconciliation process, which exempts them from needing 60 votes and authorizes approval by simple majority.
It ends how the norm ends, and even if the senators with suspicions are folded to Trump’s requests and pressures, as legislators have already done in the lower house, the proposals of the two cameras will be twinned. They are anticipated marathon sessions this weekend in the Senate And a very intense next week in Capitol Hill, and even some suggest that it could go beyond July 4. What is difficult to think is that Republicans will not be folding to Trump’s requests and pressures and giving him his great legislative triumph. And the 86% of financial counselors of companies probes by the CNBC economic chain believe that the Republican will have its law.
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