It will be necessary to wait to see exactly what the United States bombing against Iran’s nuclear facilities has performed and to what extent it has damaged the country’s nuclear ambitions.
Meanwhile, the White House and the Pentagon have launched a joint effort to convince Americans that the mission was successful and necessary.
At a news conference at the Pentagon, US Chief of Staff General Dan Caine detailed the years of planning that sustained the readiness for the attack and how he was executed.
Details such as those shared by Caine can help influence public opinion and make Americans support the attacks. But the initial assessment of how the public sees the operation is probably not what the government expected.
A research CNN Disclosure last week revealed that 56% of people heard disapproved of the attacks.
The results of the research of CNN They follow predictable ideological lines. Democrats will almost always disapprove of what the Trump government does, and Republicans will almost always approve.
In the report, it was evidenced that most independent (60%) and Democrats (88%) voters disapprove of the decision to perform a military action in Iran.
Republicans, on the other hand, approve widely (82%), but only 44%of them strongly approve of air strikes – a much smaller number than the group of democrats who disapprove strongly (60%), perhaps reflecting the widespread distrust of Trump’s coalition in relation to military action abroad.
It is a rule of US politics that independent voters are usually those who can, as their opinions change direction, influence power in the country.
And in a number of issues, they have turned against Trump.
Aaron Blake, the CNN, Last week he analyzed several surveys, which is evaluated by the US Congress.
“Independents opposed … KFF and Fox News polls – those with the smallest number of undecided – showed that 7 out of 10 independents opposed him,” Blake wrote.
About deportations and immigration policy, CNN research editor Ariel Edwards-Levy wrote in April: “More than half of the independents now say they have no real confidence in it to deal with the matter, with 56% saying that he went too far with deportations.”
About tariffs, economics and government cuts, Trump has failed, at least so far, to convince Americans who do not identify with any of the parties that their agenda is the right thing to do.
I talked to the chief data analyst from CNN, Harry understand, who has been following this trend for some time.
“It is very clear that independent and independent voters turned against Trump,” he told me.
In April, Enteian’s analysis pointed out that Trump had the worst approval rate ever registered among independent voters at that time of presidency.
“His problem is that he completely lost the center of the electorate,” said End, presenting two reasons for this:
- Independents don’t like what Trump is doing in the economy
- They do not seem to like most of their agenda (as an example, there is the comprehensive bill).
This will represent great problems for Trump and the Republican Party going forward.
“Now, it is possible that Trump and the Republican party can do well without the independents to be overwhelmed to them,” he said, pointing out that the independents support themselves in Trump in 2024.
“The problem is that there can be no more than 20 points for independents and survive in American politics,” he added.
At the same time, independents are difficult to “track” for various reasons. Unlike Republicans and Democrats, they do not act as a unified electoral block, according to Edwards-Levy and Jennifer Agiesta, from CNN, They wrote a few years ago.
“Many independents are indeed supporters and certainly not actually moderate,” said Edwards-Levy.
What do independents have in common?
“They are less strongly linked to specific party loyalties and less likely to get involved with politics, which makes their opinions potentially more malleable than those of stronger supporters,” said Edwards-Levy.
In a recent Washington Post survey on Trump’s Bill, for example, only 18% of Democrats and 25% of Republicans said they had heard anything about the controversial proposal to extend tax cuts from the president’s first term, create new tax cuts and cut spending, including Medicaid.
A much larger portion of independents, 34%, had heard nothing about the president’s main legislative priority.
