Former President () wants to have the majority in 2027 as a way to create a kind of parallel power to face the (Federal Supreme Court). The calculation takes into account even the scenario in which a successor in Bolsonarism would win the dispute for the Planalto Palace.
Since leaving the presidency, Bolsonaro has been talking about the importance of electing the majority in – which has the prerogative to approve that of STF ministers. More recently, the former president’s movements and statements have shown more clearly what it means for him to have the command of the house.
Some allies say Bolsonaro is more concerned with having the majority out there than to elect the occupant of the Planalto Palace. He has already said openly and more than once, with the majority of Congress, he will have more powers than the Presidency of the Republic.
The former president also spoke more often about having the majority in. Although the house did not have the power to carry out the removal of STF ministers, it was in it that the vote on the amnesty bill to prisoners and convicted in the coup attacks.
This Sunday (29), Bolsonaro held one, in São Paulo, in which he spoke about the subject, openly admitting the possibility of being arrested during the or even dead – a certain that has been dealing with since an interview with Sheet where he said prison would be the.
“If you give me it [50% da Câmara e do Senado]it doesn’t matter where it is, here or in the beyond, who takes over the lead will send more than the President of the Republic, “Bolsonaro said in Paulista.
“With this majority, we will elect our Mayor. Our Senate President. Our President of Congress. Most heavyweight commissions in the Senate and the House,” he told a much lower audience than previous demonstrations.
“We will choose not the president [da República]the president of the Central Bank and all his secretariat. We will be responsible for the fate of Brazil, “he added.
The ex -president will pass not only to the Senate candidates, but also the negotiation of the plate with allied parties, such as -PP and.
The preference will be for at least one PL name in all states of the Federation. Where it is not possible to elect a root pocketist, the order is to compose with an ally party.
The priority to have Bolsonaro’s support will be to declare the intention to support offensive against STF ministers, more notably. Even the alternates of these candidates are being evaluated by the former president.
The evaluation of his interlocutors is that the theme of the election next year will be the clash with the Supreme. According to an ally, negotiations with parties may predict support of them to governor or vice in exchange for the choice of names for the Senate.
PL members calculate elect 22 of 81 senators, but believe they can reach about 50 with allies from other acronyms. In this move, the Senate presidency would be the party’s demand. Allies cite the senator (PL-RN) as a possible name to occupy the position. He has been minister of (MDB) and Bolsonaro and today is secretary general of PL.
Bolsonaro’s obsession with the Senate takes into account even the optimistic scenario, in which he will be able to get a successor in charge of the Planalto Palace.
Vying for their right -wing governors as (Republicans), from; (Union), from Goiás; (New), from Minas Gerais; and (PSD), from Paraná. In addition to them, the former first lady is also mentioned.
Tarcisio, the most competitive name in the polls today, is the target of criticism from more radical pockets for not being combative with the STF. The governor has ties with court ministers.
Governor’s allies say he talks and seeks bridges with the Supreme and that he maintains dialogue with Bolsonaro about all the gestures and movements he makes in relation to the ministers.
A wing around the former president wants a more energetic successor in his measures. Older son of the former modeler, the senator (PL-RJ) made it clear in recent Sheet.
“I am doing a scenario analysis. Bolsonaro supports someone, this candidate is elected, gives a pardon or composition with Congress to approve amnesty, in three months this is realized, here comes the Supreme and says: It’s unconstitutional, everyone comes back to jail.”
PL members seek to minimize the senator’s speech and say that it is not possible to act on the basis of force, activating the Armed Forces, for example. Therefore, the only possible way for pockets to ensure that the amnesty is effective would be via Senate.
Another understanding is that, however combative it is a possible president of the right, its powers are limited within democracy. Bolsonaro considers the history of his own presidency, in which many of his actions were suspended by the Court, as when he tried to pardon the then Deputy Daniel Silveira.
Some say, therefore, that the main negotiation with a successor will be to ensure that the Senate will be under the indirect command of Bolsonaro, having free letter to open fronts against the STF ministers.
It is in this sense that the former president wants to secure all members of his family with a place in the house. Even enthusiasts of a possible Michelle candidacy for the presidency evaluate that Bolsonaro may prefer to have her in the Senate as well.
More recently, he made public the intention to appoint the councilman (PL-RJ) to run for one of the places of the House by Santa Catarina.
In São Paulo, until second order, one of the applications is. The licensed deputy has signaled interlocutors, however, who does not intend to return to Brazil – even in the face of the possibility of a distance candidacy.
He fears being arrested, especially if the mobilization for a sanction against Moraes by the government of work.
