“The Melindroso da Razor”: Carneiro can go through new elections on PS as early as February

The Post Mary period Soares left a lesson to the socialists. The “aristocracy” in the PS does not leave much room to outsiders As sure.

José Luís Carneiro It is officially the new leader of the Socialist Party (PS). The election of the secretary general was last Saturday.

There was a subject that was not a matter in your statement of victory: presidential elections. There is a talk as little as possible, or there is no talk of this theme, within the PS. At least for now.

He is a candidate for president of the Republic. no. It may be.

José Luís Carneiro “grabs” the PS at this time of undefined in relation to the presidential (something that is not unprecedented in the history of the PS).

Carneiro was a António José Seguro’s route companion. But “it is curious” to observe what is happening and what will happen in the socialist bosom, analyzes José Manuel Mestre.

The commentator on the radio begins by saying that “there is here on PS one side aristocratic and an commonplace. ”When it refers to an aristocratic side, it speaks of hierarchy, on the list of Who occupies the key places No party.

This “aristocracy” began with António Guterres. After the troubled period in the postmary Soares (with short passages from Almeida Santos, António Macedo, Vitor Constâncio and Jorge Sampaio for office) the paradigm was changed in relation to the secretary general of the PS.

With Jorge Coelho as a mediator, the party created a hierarchy of succession. Ferro Rodrigues, Jaime Gama, José Sócrates or António Costa would be on this list.

But then, in 2011, António José Seguro appeared: announced being a candidate for secretary general the night that José Sócrates resigned. Why “I knew that in this aristocracy António Costa would advanceSo there was no time for Costa to move forward. ”

“A aristocracy did not allow a outsider“, reinforces José Manuel Mestre.

And now the PS has a similar scenario: “We are here on an imminence in which António José Seguro is a candidate and the PS does not know what to do. And it may appear Augusto Santos Silva, or return Sampaio da Nóvoa – To divide the socialist area and call into question the PS to have a candidate in the second round. ”This is” the big question, the problem. “

And the PS may not even have a presidential candidate, although the commentator finds this outcome unlikely. Pedro Nuno Santos’s supporters – who are still on the PS National Commission – never worshiped Santos Silva and can even support insurance.

So José Luís Carneiro, elected so few days, has been in a “Filhendous Razor Wire”. Because the way it will manage this process greatly influences your future.

“There Risk of being crossed by António José Seguro, then insurance does not go to the second round in the presidential elections, and in February or March we have someone discussing the place of secretary general of the PS With José Luís Carneiro ”, warns José Manuel Mestre.

It is a “moving razor wire that moves the history of the PS of recent decades and can call into question the current secretary general.”