The photograph of the moment is of confrontation without good solution in sight. However, there is a lot of film to be shot and so the characters in this electoral plot should not go to all or nothing now. It’s not time yet.
It does not matter to the right or left to leave for a clash whose outcome depends on many variables. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) is not sure if it is worth trying to reelection and () needs to decide what it will do when and the probable conviction for attempted coup.
The misaligned parliamentary base does not have all this urgency to define itself by the abandonment of ministries and other positions that well or barely give you access to a considerable part of the public machine.
The president nor should the mass resignation of the friends of the jaguar. You still need them to approve the electoral kinds that await voting on, of which opponents want to be partners. Just as the then opposition to the previous government approved Bolsonaro’s spending in 2022, as an impossibility of saying no to popular measures.
Most likely it is that from here until the beginning of the definition phase, in early 2026, follow government and opposition, right and left, in the rhythm of Morde and Assopra. Currently the battle takes place in Congress, later the fight will take place outside of it.
When you draw the candidates more clearly, then the fight really begins. The positions, however, are marked. In the mouth of the scene, they attack, but in the backstage it is considered more reasonable that political prudence prevails in favor of a provisional understanding.
None of the sides are ready for an extermination war where false steps can take advantage of the opposing field. Although difficult, the recovery of popularity is not a hypothesis to be discarded.
On the other hand, there will be the installation of CPMI, whose potential for damage in conflagration will be the greater for the government the less the support it has in Congress.
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