Trump cuts will kill 14 million people around the world (and 51,000 a year in the US alone)

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Trump cuts will kill 14 million people around the world (and 51,000 a year in the US alone)

Donald Trump’s “great and beautiful law” cuts promise to be catastrophic around the world and within the United States, with a large bill of deaths.

The drastic reduction of US financing to humanitarian programs, ordered by Donald Trump, can lead more than 14 million additional deaths In poorer countries before the end of the decade, according to the results of modeling in The Lancet magazine.

Researchers led by Davide Rasella of the Barcelona Global Health Institute estimated that the cutting of the US Agency for International Development (USAID) by about 83% “would interrupt abruptly – and I would even revert – Two decades of health gains ”in low and medium income countries. The analysis projects 14.1 million“ excessive deaths ”by 2030, including 4.5 million children under five.

The United States is historically the largest bilateral donor of aid From the world, disbursing $ 68 billion in 2023 and supporting health, food and water programs in more than 60 countries. But Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed in March that “more than 80%” of USAID projects were canceled as part of a White House initiative to contain what it calls “unnecessary external spendingAnd align external assistance narrowerly with Trump’s “America First” doctrine.

Using 20 years of mortality data and expenses, Rasella and colleagues calculated that USAID interventions avoided more than 90 million deaths Between 2001 and 2021. Removing most of this support would produce a “comparable to a scale to a pandemic or a large armed conflict,” the authors write. In addition to the projected number of deaths, they warn of increased malnutrition, outbreaks of diseases preventable by vaccines and setbacks in maternal health, refers to.

Washington’s withdrawal has already triggered similar reductions from several European donors, including the United Kingdom, France and Germany. The United Nations claim that the international aid system now faces “greater financing restriction that there is record ”

Humanitarian organizations condemned the US cuts, but the government’s top figures show no signs of reversal. Rubio argued that about 1,000 remaining programs will be managed “more effectively” by the State Department, in consultation with Congress. The White House refused to comment on Lancet’s projections.

“Great and Beautiful Law will kill 51 thousand Americans

Comprehensive cuts in Medicaid and the Affordable Medical Assistance Law (ACA), incorporated into Trump’s budget reconciliation package already approved in Congress Bring 51,000 additional deaths annually and nullify two decades of health gains.

In a letter of 3 June to the President of the Budget Committee, the teams of the University of Yale and the University of Pennsylvania calculated the human cost of legislationthat Trump nicknamed “great and beautiful law.”

Using projections of the Congress Budget Office (CBO) and peer -reviewed mortality studies, the academics said Average reduction of 83% In federal expenses with Medicaid and the end of AA’s prize tax credits would reduce health insurance coverage of 16 million people by 2034. Losing insurance is strongly associated with higher mortality rates.

The analysis provides 11 300 deaths per year associated with the loss of basic drug coverage of Medicaid/Marketplace, 18 200 to the elimination of medicines subsidies to 1.38 million low -income beneficiaries of the Medicare and 13,000 to the revocation of the minimum rules for nurses in elderly homes in the US. If we take into account the revocation of Improved Fiscal Credits of ACA, the total number of annual deaths exceeds 51 000, explains the.

The bill redirects more than $ 70 billion a year from Medicaid and other social security programs to help finance the extension of Tax cuts on large companies and rich Trump implemented in 2017. Still, the responsible federal budget committee estimates that the legislation would add $ 3.1 trilions to national debt over 10 years.

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