Moro leads in the dispute to the government of Paraná, says research

Paraná survey research released this Thursday (8.Jul.2025) shows that the Senator (União Brasil-PR) leads the voting intentions by the Command of the State of Paraná, with 43.8%. Following is the federal deputy (PSDB-PR), with 17.5%, followed by (PDT), which adds 16.5% of voting intentions.

Here’s the results of the 1st Stimulated Scenario:

• Sergio Moro (União Brasil)– 43,8%;
• Beto Richa (PSDB) – 17,5%;
• Requião Filho (PDT) – 16,5%;
• GUTO SILVA (PSD) – 5,2%;
• Enio Verri (Pt) – 3,0%;
• do not know/did not opine – 5,3%;
• No/whites/null – 8,8%.

The survey listened to 1,540 voters in 62 municipalities in the state of Paraná, from July 3 to 6, 2025. The margin of error is 2.5 percentage points and the degree of confidence is 95%.

Here’s the results of the 2nd stimulated scenario:

• Sergio Moro (União Brasil)– 41%;
• Beto Richa (PSDB) – 17,1%;
• Requião Filho (PDT) – 16,6%;
• Alexandre Curi (PSD) – 9,5%;
• Enio Verri (Pt) – 2,9%;
• do not know/did not opine – 4,2%;
• No/whites/null – 8,8%.

Here are the results of the 3rd stimulated scenario:

• Sergio Moro (União Brasil)– 38,2%;
• Rafael Greca (PSD)­ – 19,5%;
• Beto Richa (PSDB) – 14,7%;
• Requião Filho (PDT) – 13,4%;
• Enio Verri (Pt) – 3,1%;
• do not know/did not opine – 3,6%;
• No/whites/null – 7,5%.

2nd shift

The survey also tested any 2nd round scenarios.

Sergio Moro X Guto Silva:

• Sergio Moro (União Brasil)– 62,7%;
• GUTO SILVA (PSD) – 16,9%;
• do not know/did not opine – 6,4%;
• No/whites/null – 13,9%.

Sergio Moro x Guto Silva, with the support of Governor Ratinho Junior:

• Sergio Moro (União Brasil)– 48,8%;
• Guto Silva (PSD), with the support of Governor Ratinho Junior – 35,2%;
• do not know/did not opine – 6,0%;
• No/whites/null – 10,1%.

Sergio Moro X Alexandre Curi:

• Sergio Moro (União Brasil) – 58%;
• Alexandre Curi (PSD) – 25,3%;
• do not know/did not opine – 5,7%;
• No/whites/null – 11%.

Sergio Moro x Alexandre Curi, with the support of Governor Ratinho Junior:

• Sergio Moro (União Brasil) – 48,7%;
• Alexandre Curi (PSD), with the support of Governor Ratinho Junior – 37,8%;
• do not know/did not opine – 5,3%;
• No/whites/null – 8,2%.

State Government Evaluation

The survey also asked interviewees how they evaluate the management of the governor (PSD): 67% of respondents consider the current management “excellent” or “boa”. Another 9.3% say it is “roomy” or “Terrible” and 22.7% declare the current government “regular”.

Here’s the percentages:

• excellent – 27,8%;
• bom – 39,2%;
• regular – 22,7%;
• roomy – 4,1%;
• bad – 5,2%;
• do not know/did not opine – 1,1%.

In the most direct formulation, with only two evaluation alternatives (approve/disapproval), 81.4% of respondents say they approve the current government, while 15.1% say they disapprove. Another 3.6% could not answer.

Here’s the percentages:

• approves – 81,4%;
• disapproval – 15,1%;
• do not know/did not opine – 3,6%.

Research aggregator

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