The unprecedented attack of Brazil, after months solemnly ignoring the relationship with the country, turned the US president into a central actor of next year’s electoral race.
There is no historical precedent for what happened, although it is important to remember that the American often reverses his most drastic decisions in a short time, as part of his passive-anti negotiation-that has only been able to bring the global scenario.
In the 2022 election, pockets complained about the American embassy’s note defending the electoral system contested by the then president, but near Trump’s letter that was a whisper.
He immediately loses (), who has already declared to have his political idol in Trump. The coincidence of the narrative arch of the two populists has always been remarkable, in the rise, in the fall, in the institutional contestation with scammer touches.
The Republican himself recognized this by saying, in the posts prior to the tariff letter, that Bolsonaro suffered the same hunting to the witches he would have been exposed. , with a two -year “delay” among events, has separated: the law in Brazil is harder, and no convict can be president, as is the case in the US.
In any case, now Bolsonaro ideological with Trump being exposed. The American’s open support may even yield his exile, but he will not change the willingness of his judges – he should not sharpen any punitivism either, but then it is too much institutional optimism.
As much as verbal juggling as it does, the pocket harsh core has no way to shield the former president if Brazil is indeed affected by the tariff, starting with the sourness of its allies in agribusiness.
It is predictable, of course, an intensification of polarization. Those who are Boconist Raiz will blame the president (PT), Minister Alexandre de Moraes and the other fantasy torquemados of this group for the crisis, although it takes a lot of creativity to justify Trump’s action at the end of the day.
It loses even more right and right-wing that orbit Bolsonaro due to its electoral cliff. The demonstrations about the episode of the governors of this group (Republicans-SP) ahead, demonstrates the difficulty placed.
They blamed Lula for driving dictatorships and espoute the traditional PT anti -Americanism. These are facts, but they have nothing to do with the umbilical connection of Trump and Bolsonaro, symbolized in this surroundings for the image of
Under other circumstances, it would be the ideal excuse for this right to break with pockets, but the fear of the group’s networks and the electoral weight of the former president still speak louder. It will not be surprised, however, if Bolsonarista begin to distance themselves in search of their own flight.
With all this, an unexpected electoral asset Lula, simply read the previous paragraphs. It is easy to stick any crisis, if it will really be, in. In addition, the Republican is mostly malayed in Brazil, as research points out.
But one thing is the environment of political struggle, the MMA’s in the networks. The risk to Lula is exactly to go to the ostentatious attack as a government action, because there is an intensification of the practical effects of the clash with the White House may be debited from the eventual ideologization of the Brazilian response.
Trump’s history allows us to suppose that there will be retreats in this tension before it climbs uncontrollably, but if that happens, it is never too much to remember who has more handed resources for the fight.
