Former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) studies intervening directly on the crisis generated by the 50% tariff imposed by the United States on Brazilian products. According to analyst Caio Junqueira, from CNN Brazilthe former Mandanician’s allies evaluate that he could start direct contact with the White House as a way to contain the political wear and tear caused by the episode, especially in the middle of the right.
The idea, which has been gaining strength behind the scenes, is that Bolsonaro sets a channel of communication with President Donald Trump, possibly through a call with licensed deputy Eduardo Bolsonaro (PL-SP), to try to reverse the tax.
The gesture would have a double goal: to demonstrate international articulation capacity and reverse the perception that the tariff increase is the sole responsibility of pockets.
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Allies see negative impact
Since the announcement of tariffs, Bolsonaro’s allies have evaluated that the measure has strengthened the left discourse, which has mobilized its militancy around the narrative of national sovereignty.
The PT blames Bolsonarism for the crisis, especially the performance of Eduardo Bolsonaro in the United States, where he defended the application of magnitsky law against Brazilian authorities, such as STF Minister Alexandre de Moraes.
In addition, Trump’s diplomatic offensive would have diverted the focus of strategic guidelines for the opposition, such as the amnesty project investigated by scammer acts of January 8, 2023, which lost strength in Congress against the new international polarization scenario.
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Exposure risks
Bolsonaro’s possible entry into direct negotiation with Trump, however, is not free of risk. One of the main fears is that the initiative failed and the Republican maintain the tariff, which would weaken the former president’s political leadership and confirm the left accusations.
Another risk is legal: If the gesture leads to partial reversal of the tariff combined with sanctions to Brazilian authorities, as is already considered in the US, the Supreme Court could interpret the movement as part of a strategy of institutional obstruction, expanding the scope of processes already underway against Bolsonaro.
