The announcement of 50% tariffs on Brazilian products exported to USA It forces the change of productive sector routes, even if heterogeneously.
Analysts heard by CNN point out that some industries, such as agro and steelmakers, can look for new markets in the Chinawhile semimanufated areas and chemicals should face more difficulties.
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In reading the lawyer specializing in foreign trade Celso Figueiredo, Brazil can benefit from the entry already established in the Chinese market and direct exports taxed in the US to the Asian giant.
“Brazil can campaign to promote the Brazilian export agenda. This already happens a lot by Apex. So much of what we export will settle, as other markets capture these items that will no longer be sold to the US,” he says.
Agribusiness items are used to feed the Chinese population, while ore is used for the manufacture of industrialized items and local construction.
The scenario changes to items with higher added value, which can range from shoes to chemicals, which would face direct competition from the already starring industry in China.
“Brazilian products will have difficulty entering, especially chemicals in general and machinery. Embraer may have a possibility with Chinese airlines,” says the lawyer.
. By this factor, the expert believes that, even overcharged, US markets will continue to buy from Brazilian producers.
For Leonardo Trevisan, Professor of International Relations at ESPM, Trump’s unilateral decision will strengthen Brazil’s ties with China, as well as being a “foot in the foot” of the US economy itself.
“Brazil needs to choose another commercial partner to replace the American position and any child knows it will be China,” says Trevisan.
Trevisan argues that, in addition to pressuring the judiciary for the former president Jair Bolsonaro (PL) In the trial of the coup attempt, the US intends to give Latin America a message not to approach the Chinese, politically and economically.
The expert adds: “The more the United States put pressures in this volume against Brazil, the more Latin America as a whole will approach China. It is in this sense that I think it is a shot in the foot.”