The polarization between Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) and Jair Bolsonaro (PL) continues to structure the Brazilian political imagination. GENIAL Survey/Quaest released on Thursday (17) shows that the country is still divided over which one poses the most risk: 44% say Fear another Bolsonaro return to the presidency, while 41% express fear of Lula’s continuity in office.
The numbers indicate stability in relation to previous surveys. In May, 45% feared Bolsonaro’s return, from 40% that pointed to fear of Lula’s permanence. In March, the rates were practically the same as the current: 44% and 41%, respectively.
The search margin of the research is two percentage points, which characterizes a technical draw between the two options.
Among respondents, 7% claim to be afraid of Lula and Bolsonaro – an index that has been maintained since May. Those who do not fear any of the two add up to 3%, while 5% said they did not know or preferred not to answer.
The survey listened to 2,004 Brazilians 16 years or older, between July 10 and 14. The confidence level is 95%.
Lula reduces rejection
The data reinforces a pattern detected in other recent polls: although Lula has recovered ground since the beginning of the year – with a drop in disapproval and a slight advance in supporting his reelection – it still faces a significant feeling of rejection and fear of the continuity of his government.
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In a survey released by the Atlasintel, earlier this week, for example, disapproval to the Lula administration.
Already Bolsonaro, although ineligible until 2030, continues to take place in the political debate and maintains a faithful core of support – but also follows as the main figure that generates fear among voters.
