The president’s interference in Brazilian politics reached a paradoxical paroxism this Friday (18), with the determination of precautionary measures against his ally (), now and to drop social networks.
Only when Michel fear 2019 a former Brazilian president was subjected to such judicial scrutiny without being sentenced. Unlike what happened at that time, the case against Bolsonaro is solid and his conviction in the trial of the coup plot, right.
Trump comes into scene, ironically the biggest idol in pockets and responsible for advanced the punishment to the former Mandanician. The Bolsonaro family tactic to incite the American against Brazil in general is one of the largest political errors of recent years, given the nationalist commotion.
The wholesale error is now repeated in retail, with the Supreme Court as an attempt to escape in planning by the former president to the US. Nor would it be unpublished: Bolsonaro abandoned office shortly before the end of his term to go to Florida, conveniently far from the inauguration of and on January 8.
There he was neither ineligible, nor was it. He has no inevitable discussions that will come upon the legal merits of the decision, it merges into the political broth of the moment inexorably.
This contaminates the debate, like everything in Brazilian polarization. Boconists will celebrate a martyr, otherwise inherent in the group, and will say that Moraes proves the “witch hunt” reported by Trump, making it indistinguishable assessments of justice and political motivations – for, in this view, to favor Lula.
This reading ignores that the climbing of the facts was fired when Eduardo Bolsonaro became the father of his father’s amnesty in the US, precipitating the facts. It seems that it worked, only the way the absent deputy wanted to.
First, because Moraes’s rigid rite regardless of what Lula wants, he himself a critic of what he called a witch hunt when he was the target of Operation Lava Jato.
Second, and most importantly, because Trump’s frontal attack on Brazilian Brand of the Brazilian right, which lives the impasse of orbiting Bolsonaro’s electoral capital and having to deal with its growing toxicity.
The reaction of the main candidate to take the place of the ineligible leader in 2026, the governor (Republicans-SP), was exemplary of this: he was from Bolsonaro’s defender to the target of pockets, to now rehearse an accommodation with all sides. Milk, however, about your image.
From Lula’s point of view, the danger is the size the crisis is taking. The (17) about the crisis, after a day spent over the stands exercising the best of anti -Americanism that petista DNA gives it, suggests the burden and bonuses of the tactic.
On the one hand, the president stuck in his opponents the epithet of traitors of the homeland, something that is valid guaranteed by 2026. On the other, he doubled the bet against Trump’s intervention, which may even the election, if the US -rehearsed measures become effective punitive policy with practical effects on the economy.
With Moraes doing the same in view of the possibility of the American offensive to take from Brazil his most showy defendant, an unprecedented scenario of American in local political life is configured.