Most Brazilians evaluate that a candidate who has support or linked in some way to US President Donald Trump will be harmed in the 2026 presidential elections. The data are from the Ipespe survey released on Thursday, 24, that makes the impacts of the tariff announced by the US president on Brazilians’ perception.
According to the survey, 53% think that Trump’s influence or support can undermine a candidate for the presidency of Brazil, while 32% think he will help a postulant to office. Another 14% do not know or did not respond.
Observing the data on the ideological position, 88% of those who consider themselves from the left think the candidate will be harmed. Among the center respondents, 69% also think so. Of those who declare from the right, 66% think Trump’s support will help the candidate.
The family and supporters of former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) have defended the tariffs imposed by the American, which justifies the measure criticizing the treatment given to the former president and decisions of the Supreme Court (STF) against American technology companies. Trump also asked the court to terminate the criminal action against Bolsonaro, defendant for coup d’état.
The survey also asked if respondents approve or disapprove of the statements given by Brazilian leaders after the announcement of the tariffs. Who left most harmed was Bolsonaro himself, with 60% disapproval.
Following is his son, Federal Deputy Eduardo Bolsonaro (PL-SP), with 59%. Eduardo moved to the American country in February, reportedly in search of sanctions against Brazilian authorities, and has an open inquiry in the Supreme Court to investigate the performance against national sovereignty.
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Presidents of the Chamber of Deputies, Hugo Motta (Republicans-PB), and Senate, David Alcolumbre (Brazil-AP Union), also had the image impaired, receiving 49% of mentions disapproving of their behavior.
Widely criticized, both by opposition and allies, the governor of São Paulo, Tarcisio de Freitas (Republicans), had 46% disapproval. In the early days, Tarcisio supported Trump’s defense to Bolsonaro and held the Lula government for the crisis. Then he met with head of the US embassy Gabriel Escobar in search of solutions.
The governors, who assumed the discourse of national sovereignty and defended national interests, were the most approved by the population. Lula received 50% approval, Vice President Geraldo Alckmin (PSB), 42%, and Finance Minister Fernando Haddad, 38% of the mentions.
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Overall, 50% of respondents approve of the Brazilian government’s reaction to the tariff, and 46% disapprove. Only 5% did not know or did not answer the question.
BIG TECHS RATE
Behind the scenes, we weighed on Trump’s decision the advancement of Brazil in legislations affecting Big Techs, such as the judgment of Article 19 of the Internet Civil Mark, the proposal to regulate artificial intelligence, the new BRICS guidelines on digital sovereignty, and the digital platform and market regulation drafts that must be sent to Congress.
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In defense of the country after announcement of the tariff, Lula said that Brazil will not give pressure from the White House to relieve regulation and taxation of the platforms and will “charge tax from US digital companies”. According to the survey, 55% agree with the position of the president of taxing the sector, compared to 40% who disagree, and 5% who do not know or did not respond.
Sanctions to STF ministers
In another chapter of the trade and diplomatic war, Donald Trump’s secretary of state, Marco Rubio, announced the revocation of Minister Alexandre de Moraes’s visa of the Supreme Court (STF), and his allies at the Court.
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Most of the population disapprove of the US government measure against ministers: 57% are disagreeing, and 37% those who agree. Another 6% did not know or did not respond.
The IPESPE survey listened to 2,500 people from 16 or older, between July 19 and 22, has a margin of error of two percentage points and confidence index of 95.45%.
