The five center and right -wing parties that are part of the (PT) coalition intend to wait for the political reflexes of the crisis around and the recent () to assess whether to recalibrate the expected route for the 2026 elections.
Although most point out that it is still early for more blunt movements, there is evaluation among some of them that Bolsonaro, relatives and more fierce allies are for now. This reading, however, does not mean that the group has leaned on in the lulist boat.
The perception of congressmen in this field is that there is no guarantee that Lula will achieve one. Therefore, some of these parties keep a landing plan on the radar, although there are internal disagreements about the best date to leave the government.
In the evaluation of this group, the governor of São Paulo, (), suffered – the image, symbol of trumpster, is cited as a deleteria for his electoral intentions – but is still the number 1 option of the center to face Lula in 2026.
Leaders heard by the report recognize that they should not make any movement right now, precisely to avoid breathing for the criticism that pockets received with the case of surcharge.
A Centrão Cardinal says that, on the other hand, with fragile pockets, the group will have more power to influence who will be the right candidate in 2026. Bolsonaro and cannot speak on social networks.
All the group wants the most is an application that is supported by the Bolsonaros, but does not have the family surname on the head of the plate.
While the picture is not defined on the right, the parties are positioned to enter the election year. And they must formalize the formation of the Progressive Union Federation at an event scheduled for August 19. Members of the two acronyms say this is the first step in arguing whether or not the parties will remain in the terrace of Lula’s ministries.
“Soon after, I will propose that parties and their benches gather and prohibit any member of the party to participate in this government,” PP president (PI) said in an interview with Jovem Pan on Monday (21).
Although leaders defend the landing later this year, there are influential names in both parties that evaluate not the right time. These acronyms have four ministries together, in addition to the command of Caixa Econômica Federal and state -owned companies.
On the Esplanada, the PP has the Ministry of Sports, headed by the licensed deputy André Fufuca (MA), and the command of Caixa-to appear from deputies and senators claim that the bank’s leadership is an appointment of the former mayor (AL) and not the party.
União Brasil commands the Ministries of Tourism, with the deputy licensed Celso Sabino (PA), regional development, with Waldez Goes, and communications, with Frederico de Siqueira Filho. These last two were indications of the Senate President, (Brazil-AP Union).
There is an assessment that breaking with the government could generate discomfort in their own benches, as deputies and senators have nominations in federal positions in the states.
Members of the two parties contrary to the immediate landing attribute the pressure to Ciro Nogueira and the president of União Brasil, Antonio Rueda. They argue to postpone this decision to April so that the electoral scenario is clearer. This is also the deadline for the ministers who will be candidates leave the positions.
Ciro Nogueira has the objective of being vice in the eventual presidential plate of Tarcisio. On Thursday (24), he published on his social networks that he expects the day when Brazil will have a president “of the stature of Bolsonaro or Tarcisio”.
On the government’s side, the assessment is that there is a lot of foam in the century’s speeches, but that the slight recovery of Lula’s popularity, if consolidated and progressed, can improve the scenario for the Planalto Palace.
Centrão members evaluate that Lula gained breath, first, with. Then, with the repercussion of Trump’s threat of surcharge, which, who had to modulate his speech throughout the crisis, being the target of friendly fire within pockets.
Two PSD leaders say Trump’s interference may be an additional element to make Tarcisio retreat and compete for reelection in Sao Paulo, leaving the presidential plate headed by a Bolsonaro family name.
Already a deputy from Republicans who, two weeks ago, gave the government as finished now states that Lula recovered, and that the parties consider postponing the landing to wait for the scenario to be clearer.
A Lula’s assistant points out that threats from these parties to deliver the positions have been dragging on for months and that there is no report in this regard for now.
The Planalto Palace acknowledges that the formal support of these acronyms in the election is very unlikely and will work so that the captions that today occupy positions on the Esplanade are neutral in next year, without formally supporting the candidacy of the Bolsonarist field.
The idea is also to invest in the regional support of leadership of these parties, as already occurred in the election of 2022. The possible break from União Brasil, for example, will not mean the removal of David Alcolumbre, seen in the government as the main ally in the caption.
In this context, part of the Lulistas argues that the vice presidency, now occupied by (), can enter the negotiations. The position would serve to try to attract the support of, as there are strong leaders of the party linked to the government, especially the governor of Pará, Helder Barbalho.
But among the emedebists, the speech is that formal party support in the first round will only occur with a great recovery of Lula’s popularity, which makes the president favorite and diminish the forces of opposition wings.
In addition, Trump’s tariff expanded Alckmin’s exhibition and strengthened wings that defend his permanence as Lula’s deputy in 2026.
