The last week of July begins with Brazil under the impact of unprecedented threats from Donald Trump’s government. The United States evaluates applying the Magnitsky law against Supreme Court Ministers, including the cancellation of visas also at the high level of the Planalto Palace.
The decision arises in response to the STF process against former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) for attempted coup.
In addition to the possible new sanctions, the tension grows in the face of the tariff: the.
The Republican government justifies the taxation for alleged “witch hunt” against Bolsonaro and censorships to US social networks. The main impact falls on sectors such as agribusiness (mainly meat, fruits, orange), the aeronautical industry (Embraer), the logging chain, chemicals and sugar.
The orange juice sector has already evaluated billionaire damage in the coming years.
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Already in the American capital are Senators Nelsinho Trad (PSD-MS), Tereza Cristina (PP-MS), Marcos Pontes (PL-SP), Esperidião Amin (PP-SC) and Fernando Farias (MDB-AL). Senator Carlos Viana (Somos-MG) is in the US and should join his colleagues on Sunday (27).
Parliamentarians are expected to stay in the US until Wednesday (30) and will have meetings with the Brazilian Ambassador, Business Entities, Chamber of Commerce and American Parliamentarians of both parties.
One challenge is that the trip of the Brazilian entourage happens amid the recess of the House of Representatives of the United States – equivalent to the Chamber of Deputies.
The agenda begins on Monday morning (28) with the arrival at the official residence of the Brazilian Ambassador. In the early afternoon, the group must fulfill the first public commitment to meetings at US Chamber of Commerce headquarters, where parliamentarians will meet with business leaders and representatives of Brazil-Us Business Council.
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Commitments also provide for meetings with sectoral groups and a collective to detail the results of the negotiations. The goal is to convince authorities and entrepreneurs of the negative effects for both sides and seek consensus to delay, reduce or exclude sectors from tariffs.
Non -links to Trump
The theme of tariffs also dominates the Planalto Palace. And he has complained about the endorsement of Bolsonarist parliamentarians to the White House.
publicly criticized by the opposition, which requests direct action by the President of the Republic to avoid further damage to the country.
“Who should dialogue is the President of the Republic. He should take the phone, call Trump and say he wants to dialogue, instead of trying to reap electoral dividend. This stance is harmful to the country,” charged União Brasil national president Antonio Rueda, on Friday (25).
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“We are talking, looking for American parliamentarians, American companies, US government agents who can get sensitized by the problem. Unfortunately today we are living a moment when we seek to take advantage of the country, wanting to share the country,” Tarcisio said at an event in Sao Paulo on Saturday (26).
Lula, in turn, states that those who make the calls are the vice president and Minister of Development, Industry, Commerce and Services, Geraldo Alckmin.
“No one can say that Alckmin doesn’t want to talk. Every day he calls someone, and no one wants to talk to him,” the president said on Friday.
“Trump, the day you want to talk, Brazil will be ready and prepared to discuss and try to show how much you have been fooled by the information you have given you, and you will know the truth about Brazil.”
Parliamentarians near Lula stress that Congress has already approved legal provision to retaliate the United States if this is the decision of the government.
The private sector demonstrates strong apprehension with the scenario. Entities such as the Exporters Association projects up to 25% in US sales in 2025, while meat, juice, aviation and furniture companies evaluate suspending boarding and collective vacations to avoid stranded stocks.
Analysts warn of impacts on market expectations, exchange and business environment, a scenario that can deepen whether the crisis is prolonged.
Paths and Negotiations
The Lula Government considers any agreement difficult before August 1, but has already designed a contingency plan to help more affected sectors, with credit lines, subsidies and international legal measures.
Experts warn, however, that such measures may expand public debt and do not solve structural impasse.
. The first would be the possibility of sectoral negotiation, focusing on specific products such as orange juice, coffee and aircraft, driven by pressure from the US private sector.
The second alternative, considered more complex because it depends exclusively on Trump, would be the extent of the deadline for applying tariffs.
The situation is further complicated with the tone of public statements between the two countries. Analysts heard by CNN They evaluate that the escalation in the relationship between Brazil and the United States can generate even more political instability, especially with personal sanctions to STF ministers, which would open an unprecedented precedent between Brazil and the United States.
The presence of the Senate entourage in Washington may be decisive to signal the National Congress commitment to defend strategic sectors and try to contain damage to the country’s credibility on the eve of the tariff’s entry into force.
With collaboration by Lourival Sant’Anna, Pedro Zanatta, Jussara Soares, Débora Bergamasco, Daniel Rittner and Mateus Salomão, from CNN
