Among the relatives of () listed to replace him in the dispute for the presidency against (PT), former first lady Michelle does better in the newest poll on voting intentions than the senator (PL-RJ) and (PL-SP).
In the scenario in which Michelle faces Lula, the president gets 39% of the votes, and she, 24%. It is a broader advantage than in the previous survey, held between June 10 and 11, when the petista had marked 37% and the former first lady, 26%.
In the dispute against Flávio, Lula goes to 40% of voting intentions, and the senator gets 18%. This is the first time this scenario has been tested.
If the Bolsonarism candidate were Eduardo, Lula would have 39% of the intentions, and the deputy, 20% – the petista oscillated two percentage points up from last month’s survey, and the deputy marked the same score.
All scenarios tested included the names of center-right governors considered to be pre-candidates, except for the pocketist (Republicans). Ratinho Jr. (PSD), Ronaldo Caiado (União Brasil) and Romeu Zema (Novo) were in a group whose voting intentions ranged from 14% to 6%.
In second round scenarios, Lula would mark 48% to 40% against Michelle, 48% to 37% against Flávio and 49% to 37% against Eduardo.
Bolsonaro is ineligible by two decisions of the (Superior Electoral Court) that have ascertained abuse of political and economic power, resulting from a meeting with foreign diplomats called to disclose unfounded suspicions about the electoral system and political use of independence holiday events on September 7, 2022.
In the former president’s clan, Michelle and Eduardo were the most listed to receive an indication to compete in the election if the ineligibility was maintained. Eduardo, however, traveled to the United States in March and declared himself “exiled.” Since then, he had been working for the Donald Trump government to apply sanctions against the Minister of (Supreme Federal Court).
Datafolha heard 2,004 voters over 16 years in 130 cities. The survey was conducted on July 29 and 30 (date of confirmation of Donald Trump’s tariff). The margin of error is two percentage points, for more or less, and the confidence rate is 95%.
