The reelection candidacy in 2026 is seen as certain by 71% of voters, although 54% of them say that the petista would do better give up on the contract. As plan B, the deputy () advanced and threatens the post of favorite of the minister ().
The findings of the latest research of the help to draw the lines between reality and desire in the head of the electorate. Since the approval of the government entered the leakage earlier this year, Lula has increasingly assumed the costume of candidate who always was.
He recently said that if he has health, to the Plateau. Government communication became more popular and, if there were no significant improvements in the assessment of the president’s work, the population became more certain of their intentions.
In April, 62% said Lula would be a candidate, to 66% last month and 71% now. All jumps are at the limit or above the two -point error margin to about the survey.
At the same time, those who do not see Lula seeking reelection slid in the period, from 34% to 28% and now 23%. This does not mean support for the contract, on the contrary: 54% think the president should hang the boots, compared to 57% in the June round, while 44% support the idea, oscillating from June 41.
Lula does not give signs of giving up, on the contrary. If they did, a novelty arose in relation to the past survey: the growing name pointed out by the electorate as the one that should be supported by the petista.
He rose from 18% to 26% of citations from early June to July 29 and 30, dates from the current survey. Thus it touches Haddad, the farm holder, which fell from 37% to 29%.
Alckmin had recent protagonism in which he applied a tariff with Brazilian imports to the United States and associated him with a punishment for what he calls a judicial persecution with the former president (), his ideological ally.
The deputy, who is also Minister of Development, Industry, Commerce and Services, was already negotiating with the Americans Trump. He was able to speak to American authorities and did not avoid the tariff, which was dehydrated to sectors where the rates would harm Trump’s companies more.
In any case, Alckmin had the so -called good media in the episode. As Lula could not improve his assessment despite the perceived political success in the crisis so far, perhaps Trump’s so -called gift was nestled at the deputy’s table – in the Planalto Annex or the ministry he frequents.
Haddad deals with crises with Congress and the complex fiscal situation, and even had the crisis in his lap (tax on financial operations).
Below are the Minister of Planning, Simone Tebet (MDB, 13%), and the holders of folders in the Plateau Rui Costa (PT, 5%) and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT, 3%).
Across the polarization trench is Bolsonaro’s group by decision of the Electoral Court and probably future convicted by the coup plot. According to Datafolha, 30% of voters say that he should maintain his candidacy, which he can do even knowing the inevitable challenge after formal records in August next year.
Already 67% say that he should drop the bone already and pass the work to someone from his political group. There, the strongest names to be supported are that of his wife, Michelle (PL), and the governor of, (Republicans), with 23% and 21%, respectively.
Below are the children Eduardo (PL-SP, 11%) and Flávio (PL-RJ, 9%), with the governor of Paraná, Ratinho Jr. (PSD) among them with 10%. In a final platoon are two other state chiefs, Ronaldo Caiado (União Brasil-GO, 6%) and Romeu Zema (Novo-MG, 5%).
In this survey were heard 2,004 people 16 years or older, in 130 Brazilian municipalities.
