The president (PT) has an advantage against all opponents in a possible second round in the 2026 presidential, but with a closer leadership over (Republicans) and. (PSD) than about () and (new), according to the latest research.
The institute researched the president’s performance against center-right governors quoted as pre-candidates to the Planalto Palace.
Against the head of the state executive, Lula appears with 45%, compared to 41% of Tarcisio. Both are at the maximum margin of the margin of error (two percentage points to more or less), when a draw is considered unlikely by Datafolha.
The survey, which listened to 2,004 voters over 16 years in 130 cities, was held on July 29 and 30 – date of confirmation of Donald Trump’s tariff. Lula gained an advantage over Tarcisio compared to the previous survey, made between June 10 and 11, when there was a technical draw (43% to 42%).
Against the governor of Paraná, Lula has in the second round 45%, compared to 40% of Ratinho Jr. was the first time this scenario was tested.
Against Caiado, the petista reaches 47%, while the Goian governor gets 35%.
Lula’s victory over miner Zema would be 46% to 36% if the second round between the two politicians was now, according to the survey.
