A, which completes a week on Monday (11), generated in the National Congress and political consequences for government, opposition and centrão.
The assessment of members of the Executive is that the mayor, (-PB), was weakened in the process of overcoming the protest which generates a fear of instability in the scenario never desired by any government.
The center took advantage of the turbulence and managed to put on the agenda more.
Already the opposition was regructed in the unification of a discourse against the minister, the author of the order of arrest, and got the nods that some amnesty project to the convicts by January 8 will be discussed.
After about 30 hours unable to open a session due to the occupation of the House table, Motta only managed to return to the chair of president late Wednesday (6), through an agreement sewn by the predecessor, godfather of his candidacy and leader of the center, (-al).
The return to the former ribalt of the ex, and the busy outcome of the physical resumption of the plenary, in which it was almost lost in the midst of the push of deputies, ended up generating in government members the impression that Motta could not control the plenary going forward.
This connects the alert in relation to the advancement of the priority agenda of the Planalto Palace in the Legislature, which is centered on measures to improve the evaluation of petista management on the eve of the election year.
The government has as its flagship of its current measures.
At first, members of the government praised Motta’s stance, as well as that of the president of, (-AP), to convene party leaders’ meeting and indicate that parliamentarians would be punished who did not vacate the House Plenary.
This was discussed at a meeting at the Planalto Palace among all PT ministers and subtitle leaders on Wednesday (6), a meeting that was already scheduled for the discussion of political conjuncture.
One of the petistas present, even, said that the government should take advantage of that moment to “approach” the two parliamentarians once and for all, isolating pockets. According to reports of participants, the diagnosis was made that the government should move away from this crisis and direct the focus to its agenda.
The positive assessment of the mayor, however, was changing throughout the night of Wednesday, giving the impression that the deputy does not have enough political force and depends on Lira to maintain control of the plenary.
At the end of this Friday (8), the House table decided to send to the Corregedoria of the House all cases of parliamentarians represented by political parties. Only after an opinion of the organ will the house decide whether or not to suggest the removal of the mandate of amotinated to the Ethics Council.
An ally of the petista also says that Motta suffers great pressure from Senator Ciro Nogueira (PP-PI), former minister of the Civil House of Bolsonaro, and that the deputy needs to take off from his political godfather to be able to exercise the presidency of the House.
This Friday (8),.
On the opposition side, there was also a regrouping in the speech. Lula’s allies came from July playing on social networks an offensive classifying congress and pockets as advocates of rich and privileges, a campaign to which, the defense of national sovereignty was added.
This had been generating drumpuses among oppositionists, who were forced to act on the defensive.
The successive orders of Moraes against Bolsonaro – first, the electronic anklet, and then house arrest – but they re -inflamed and unify the pockets, at least in the speech, which enabled the riot that paralyzed the plenary and senate for about two days.
If the Impeachment flag of Moraes did not put in the summit of Congress, the discussion of some amnesty was considered possible again, although the versions varies depending on the political groups heard.
Centrão, which is balanced in recent years between pockets and Lulism and brings together enough parliamentarians to be the faithful of the balance, gives oscillating signs, depending on the political climate.
Prior to the small recovery in Lula’s popularity, he had been defeating the government in Congress and announced, in some cases publicly, the landing date and the desire to be on the rival boat in 2026.
After the events that succeeded since July – the “rich petista campaign against the poor”, the Trump tariff, the Moraes decisions and the Bolsonarist riot – the unloading momentum was postponed, although the trend remains contrary to Lula.
While awaiting developments to define electoral directions, the group at least managed to take from the drawer another demand from their old crusade to shield congressmen against the STF – and at a time of high sensitivity to many of them.
There is a desire between these center and right parties to start voting by projects that bargain investigations against deputies and senators without prior congressional approval and set out three degrees of trial for the processes, ending the Special Forum in the STF.
