At a historic crossroads, it is OS, as according to Sunday presidents, for the first time for about 20 years, candidates from center -right and right have been in the race.
More specifically, according to polls by Ipsos/Ciesmori and Captura Consulting, the center -right businessman Samuel Doria Medina, a nominee of the National Unity Front, comes with 21.2% and 21.6% in the vote intention respectively. The former Vice President of the right Jorge Kiroga, the Libre Alliance, is followed by a short distance, which attracts 20% of the vote intentions during the two polls.
The other candidates do not exceed 8% of the vote intent, while Evo Morales’ supporters, who have been excluded from the election because he has a limit to the term of office that a president may have, call on the invalid – white whose rates will reach 15%.
If these trends are confirmed on Sunday, the two coaching candidates will face in the second round of October 19th.
Since 2005, the Movement for Socialism (MAS), a Leftist Party under the leadership of Evo Morales, which secured three presidential terms (2006-2019), after Luis Arsis (2020-2025), won all the presidential elections in the first round.
The financial crisis, inflation and personal skies cost MAS
MAS sees it seriously threatened, for the first time, its stay in power in the elections, as Bolivia is immersed in a serious financial crisis, with dollars, fuel, and even food shortages, which has become the main concern of the Bolivians in recent months.
Inflation reached 24.8% in July, or at the highest level since 2008.
In June, with the slogan “without Evo there are no elections”, supporters of the former president proceeded to block roads and demonstrations, tarnished by incidents with at least eight dead, including four police officers.
Former President Morales has fled to Tsapare, his political stronghold in the central part of the country, where many coca crops are located, due to the arrest warrant pending against him for a minor trafficking case.
According to analysts, however, MAS’s “disappearance” from the political spotlight has to do with the frustration of the party’s policies between the support base that traditionally was the indigenous Aimaras and Ketsua.