The Brazilian government faces imposed by Brazil as an attempt to “change the regime” and believes that president’s actions are not restricted to pressure on the trial of former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) by the Supreme Court (STF),.
For a Planalto source, Trump’s actions aim to influence the Brazilian electoral process. In this view, the idea of the US government is to ensure that there is a candidate with ideological affinity with Trump in the electoral ballot of Brazil’s presidential election in 2026.
The Brazilian government also believes that if there is a victory of the president (PT) next year, there will be questioning the legitimacy of the dispute in Brazil by Trump. Deputy Eduardo Bolsonaro (PL-SP) has been claiming for months that if Bolsonaro is not in the ballot, the US will not recognize the election in Brazil.
The Plateau sees a US movement of reaffirming Latin America as its backyard. In addition to pushing Bolsonaro’s acquittal in the STF trial and criticizing the arrest of former Colombian president Álvaro Uribe (right), Washington expressed support for the arrest of former President Cristina Kirchner (left) in Argentina.
In late July, Trump’s name to be the next US ambassador to Argentina, Peter Lamelas, said Cristina should “receive the court he deserves.” “If it were not political, it would be in prison. She is under house arrest for some kind of political favoritism,” he said.
The American Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, came out in defense of Uribe, saying that his only crime was “fighting and defending his homeland tirelessly” and accused the judiciary of being “instrumentalized” by “radical judges.”
One of the Brazilian government’s strategies not to be isolated in South America, to avoid a “Lima group” against Brazil, as they claim government members, is to create ties with right -wing governments in the region. The Lima group was formed in 2017 with chancers from countries with right-wing and right-wing governments from the region who were pressing from the departure of dictator Nicolás Maduro from Power in Venezuela and supported opponent Juan Guaidó.
Sources point to the visit of Ecuador Centro-right president, Daniel Noboa, Brasilia on Monday (18), where he meets with Lula, as part of this approach to the right. In the case of Argentina, although there is no approximation with Javier Milei, Brazil is buying gas from the country.
With extinct unasur and blocked Celac, Brazil wants to use Mercosur and OTCA to discuss topics that can unite the region, such as climate change and energy cooperation.
In addition, Lula will continue with his approach movement with countries affected by Trump’s tariffs. This week, he will talk by telephone with France President Emmanuel Macron, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, European Commission President Ursula Von Der Leyen, and South Africa President Cyril Ramaphosa.
Financial sanctions
Government members do not find it likely to impose sanctions against Brazilian banks because they are potentially disrespecting the magnitsky law by maintaining operations of STF Minister Alexandre de Moraes.
Eduardo Bolsonaro has discussed the issue with American authorities. But a government source thinks this would be a foolish action, as it could generate instability in the financial system. And they point out that financial sanctions would reach Faria Lima, a faithful electorate of Bolsonaro.
They think, however, that there are chances of magnitsky law sanctions against other members of the judiciary before or after Bolsonaro’s trial.
